vs BOS (Nov 26, 2008)@ MTL (Nov 29, 2008) ›

November 28, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PIT 34 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PIT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT1203
BUF1124
Shots on goal PIT 30, BUF 32W R. MillerL J. Curry
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .900
PIT J. Curry .875
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
PIT 0 of 7
TURNING POINT
P. Gaustad goal (P3 16:36), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 94%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Stafford
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
D. Roy
20:37
TOI (F)
C. Rivet
22:46
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.900 (27/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPIT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFPIT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPIT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 16:36P. Gaustad (2) 50% to 94%+44
  2. P3 03:11T. Vanek (16) 19% to 50%+31
  3. P2 19:04S. Crosby (10) 47% to 20%-27
  4. P2 12:55S. Crosby (9) 75% to 50%-25

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
2
3
+1
0
4
2.3
12:54
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
2
0
2
+1
0
4
1.8
19:20
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.9
20:37
#25 M. Mancari (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.8
12:51
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
0
2
3
0.9
19:30
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
+1
4
1
0.5
19:07
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
-1
2
4
0.9
17:06
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
1.0
13:23
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
20:45
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
10:37
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
3:03
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
-1
6
1
-0.2
5:43
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
15:34
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.4
21:52
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
15:41
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
13:38
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
19:33
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
22:46
Total
4
8
12
16
32
10.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller303.9000.560:00W

Team Stats

PITBUF
30Shots on Goal32
7Power Play Chances4
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG1
10Penalty Minutes16
12Hits26
16Blocked Shots14
17Giveaways12
4Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
10:29GOAL (PIT): Tyler Kennedy (6), assists: Matt Cooke, Rob Scuderi
11:25GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (3), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Jaroslav Spacek
2ND
12:21GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (1), assists: Drew Stafford, Mark Mancari
12:55GOAL (PIT): Sidney Crosby (9), assists: Evgeni Malkin
19:04GOAL (PIT): Sidney Crosby (10), assists: Evgeni Malkin
3RD
03:11GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (16), assists: Derek Roy, Drew Stafford
16:36GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (2), assists: Jason Pominville, Jochen Hecht
vs BOS (Nov 26, 2008)@ MTL (Nov 29, 2008) ›