‹ @ MTL (Nov 29, 2008)@ FLA (Dec 4, 2008) ›

December 1, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NSH 2 – 0 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH0022
BUF0000
Shots on goal NSH 27, BUF 30W P. RinneL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 0-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .926
NSH P. Rinne 1.000
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
NSH 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
J. Arnott goal (P3 8:07), Sabres win chance drops from 52% to 17%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
–
POINTS
D. Roy
20:46
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
23:18
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.926 (25/27)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFNSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 08:07J. Arnott (13) 52% to 17%-35
  2. P3 10:40J. Dumont (5) 15% to 3%-12
  3. P2 16:22Interference on Paul Gaustad, 2 min 53% to 48%-5
  4. P2 01:27Tripping on Ryan Suter, 2 min 54% to 58%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
20:46
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
12:38
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
15:12
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
16:36
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
10:05
#25 M. Mancari (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
11:51
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
19:17
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
17:40
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
20:41
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
13:46
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.4
18:46
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
4:40
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.3
14:54
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
23:18
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.1
16:02
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
21:09
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
19:54
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
20:32
Total
0
0
0
4
30
2.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#30 R. Miller272–.926–1.058:13L

Team Stats

NSHBUF
27Shots on Goal30
2Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
4Penalty Minutes4
16Hits22
17Blocked Shots11
6Giveaways9
3Takeaways4

Full Game Log

3RD
08:07GOAL (NSH): Jason Arnott (13), assists: Greg De Vries, J-P Dumont
10:40GOAL (NSH): J-P Dumont (5), assists: Shea Weber, Joel Ward
‹ @ MTL (Nov 29, 2008)@ FLA (Dec 4, 2008) ›