vs NSH (Dec 1, 2008)@ TBL (Dec 6, 2008) ›

December 4, 2008

BankAtlantic Center | Sunrise

BUF 12 FLA

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0011
FLA0202
Shots on goal BUF 46, FLA 25W C. AndersonL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 1-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .920
FLA C. Anderson .978
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
FLA 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
G. Campbell goal (P2 15:42), Sabres win chance drops from 48% to 22%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Pominville
19:39
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
23:02
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.920 (23/25)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFFLA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+21+110-11-21shot attemptsBUFFLA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 15:42G. Campbell (6) 48% to 22%-26
  2. P2 16:17K. Ballard (3) 22% to 7%-15
  3. P3 11:19A. Kotalik (6) 4% to 17%+13
  4. P2 02:53Hooking on Keith Ballard, 2 min 47% to 51%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.7
19:01
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
6
1.2
18:35
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
4
1.1
23:02
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
9:14
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:48
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:20
#25 M. Mancari (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
9:19
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
19:15
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
6
0.5
15:12
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
19:39
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.6
11:46
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
16:47
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
17:30
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.3
21:24
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
21:24
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.3
15:42
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
11:30
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.4
20:16
Total
1
2
3
4
46
6.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller252.9200.859:23L

Team Stats

BUFFLA
46Shots on Goal25
4Power Play Chances2
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
4Penalty Minutes8
18Hits30
14Blocked Shots17
1Giveaways5
1Takeaways5

Full Game Log

2ND
15:42GOAL (FLA): Gregory Campbell (6), assists: Michael Frolik, Jay Bouwmeester
16:17GOAL (FLA): Keith Ballard (3), assists: Gregory Campbell, Radek Dvorak
3RD
11:19GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (6), assists: Jaroslav Spacek, Derek Roy
vs NSH (Dec 1, 2008)@ TBL (Dec 6, 2008) ›