vs NYR (Jan 9, 2009)@ CHI (Jan 14, 2009) ›

January 10, 2009

Joe Louis Arena | Detroit

BUF 13 DET

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs DET all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1001
DET0123
Shots on goal BUF 22, DET 48W T. ConklinL R. Miller
Summary

DET had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .938
DET T. Conklin .955
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 1
DET 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
M. Samuelsson goal (P3 17:26), Sabres win chance drops from 47% to 4%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
1 (1G)
POINTS
P. Gaustad
19:50
TOI (F)
A. Sekera
24:56
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.938 (45/48)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFDET

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+28+140-14-28shot attemptsBUFDET

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 40%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDET
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 17:26M. Samuelsson (10) 47% to 4%-43
  2. P2 17:00J. Hudler (16) 72% to 44%-28
  3. P1 05:03D. Roy (16) 41% to 60%+19
  4. P3 08:57Interference goalkeeper on Drew Stafford, 2 min 45% to 39%-6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
17:58
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.7
15:33
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
15:22
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
15:30
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
13:01
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
14:37
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
9:03
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
19:50
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
16:17
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
8:56
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
14:36
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
15:43
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
19:52
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.5
24:10
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
16:57
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
14:46
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
24:56
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
-1
4
0
-0.2
17:43
Total
1
2
3
6
22
3.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller483.9382.359:12L

Team Stats

BUFDET
22Shots on Goal48
1Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes2
17Hits24
10Blocked Shots7
3Giveaways14
3Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
05:03GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (16), assists: Drew Stafford, Thomas Vanek
2ND
17:00GOAL (DET): Jiri Hudler (16), assists: Brett Lebda, Mikael Samuelsson
3RD
17:26GOAL (DET): Mikael Samuelsson (10), assists: Jiri Hudler, Valtteri Filppula
18:25GOAL (DET): Marian Hossa (20), assists: Henrik Zetterberg
vs NYR (Jan 9, 2009)@ CHI (Jan 14, 2009) ›