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January 28, 2009

Pengrowth Saddledome | Calgary

BUF 25 CGY

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CGY all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0202
CGY1135
Shots on goal BUF 27, CGY 43W M. KiprusoffL R. Miller
Summary

CGY had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .884
CGY M. Kiprusoff .926
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
CGY 2 of 5
TURNING POINT
T. Bertuzzi goal (P3 7:08), Sabres win chance drops from 48% to 15%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Lydman
5
SHOTS
D. Roy
22:14
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
24:45
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.884 (38/43)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCGY

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 12 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+16+80-8-16shot attemptsBUFCGY

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCGY
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 07:08T. Bertuzzi (12) 48% to 15%-33
  2. P2 19:09T. Connolly (8) 23% to 48%+25
  3. P1 03:51M. Cammalleri (23) 44% to 28%-16
  4. P2 11:43D. Stafford (13) 8% to 23%+15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
1
2
-1
2
2
1.5
18:40
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
0
1
-1
0
4
1.1
16:22
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.7
17:43
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
-2
0
5
1.0
24:45
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.4
22:14
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:53
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
11:13
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.6
19:56
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
19:56
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:55
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.1
9:21
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
19:50
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
3:03
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
21:43
#17 M. Gragnani (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
11:26
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
20:20
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
12:15
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
22:46
Total
2
3
5
10
27
5.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller435.8840.159:50L

Team Stats

BUFCGY
27Shots on Goal43
5Power Play Chances5
20%PP%40%
60%PK%80%
1PPG2
10Penalty Minutes10
6Hits6
7Blocked Shots12
7Giveaways11
13Takeaways10

Full Game Log

1ST
03:51GOAL (CGY): Michael Cammalleri (23), unassisted
2ND
04:10GOAL (CGY): Dion Phaneuf (5), assists: Craig Conroy
11:43GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (13), assists: Tim Connolly
19:09GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (8), assists: Thomas Vanek, Toni Lydman
3RD
07:08GOAL (CGY): Todd Bertuzzi (12), assists: Adrian Aucoin
11:44GOAL (CGY): Michael Cammalleri (24), assists: Jarome Iginla, Miikka Kiprusoff
13:08GOAL (CGY): Michael Cammalleri (25), assists: Jarome Iginla, Craig Conroy
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