@ PHX (Jan 31, 2009)vs TOR (Feb 4, 2009) ›

February 2, 2009

Honda Center | Anaheim

BUF 23 ANA

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ANA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1012
ANA0123
Shots on goal BUF 23, ANA 37W J. HillerL P. Lalime
Summary

ANA had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo P. Lalime .919
ANA J. Hiller .913
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
ANA 2 of 3
TURNING POINT
C. Kunitz goal (P3 3:34), Sabres win chance drops from 47% to 18%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
P. Gaustad
2 (2A)
POINTS
T. Connolly
21:42
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
27:37
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.919 (34/37)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFANA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 24 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+18+90-9-18shot attemptsBUFANA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFANA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 03:34C. Kunitz (14) 47% to 18%-29
  2. P2 12:43C. Pronger (9) 74% to 48%-26
  3. P1 13:17P. Kaleta (3) 47% to 68%+21
  4. P2 15:01Fighting on Craig Rivet, 5 min 59% to 48%-11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
2
2
+1
10
2
1.4
14:50
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
10:09
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.2
13:17
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
15:37
#52 C. Rivet (D)
1
0
1
+1
12
2
0.8
18:17
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
21:13
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
+1
2
5
0.2
15:52
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
21:42
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:39
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
9:33
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:37
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
20:00
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
9:34
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
2
0.2
5:45
#4 M. Weber (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
15:51
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
27:37
#17 M. Gragnani (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
18:00
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
22:55
Total
2
4
6
33
23
5.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime373.9191.258:59L

Team Stats

BUFANA
23Shots on Goal37
2Power Play Chances3
0%PP%67%
33%PK%100%
0PPG2
33Penalty Minutes31
23Hits18
7Blocked Shots6
5Giveaways12
2Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
13:17GOAL (BUF): Patrick Kaleta (3), assists: Daniel Paille, Paul Gaustad
2ND
12:43GOAL (ANA): Chris Pronger (9), assists: Steve Montador, Drew Miller
3RD
03:34GOAL (ANA): Chris Kunitz (14), assists: Andrew Ebbett, Teemu Selanne
09:44GOAL (ANA): Corey Perry (17), assists: Steve Montador, Teemu Selanne
13:27GOAL (BUF): Craig Rivet (1), assists: Paul Gaustad, Nathan Paetsch
@ PHX (Jan 31, 2009)vs TOR (Feb 4, 2009) ›