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February 19, 2009

Wachovia Center | Philadelphia

BUF 36 PHI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0303
PHI1236
Shots on goal BUF 42, PHI 36W M. BironL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 3-6.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .882
PHI M. Biron .929
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 4
PHI 1 of 2
TURNING POINT
M. Knuble goal (P3 13:51), Sabres win chance drops from 45% to 9%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Spacek
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Roy
22:21
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
24:37
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.882 (30/34)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 44%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 13:51M. Knuble (20) 45% to 9%-36
  2. P2 14:03M. Richards (21) 46% to 22%-24
  3. P2 19:29D. Roy (21) 22% to 47%+25
  4. P2 12:11J. Spacek (6) 22% to 46%+24

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
-1
0
2
1.8
22:21
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
2
2
-1
0
5
1.6
19:46
#6 J. Spacek (D)
2
0
2
-1
0
3
1.9
24:37
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.8
19:37
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
1.0
18:58
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
1
1
-2
0
4
0.9
18:24
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
7
0.5
16:47
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.1
12:30
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
9:06
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-3
0
2
0.2
18:38
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
5:57
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.6
20:18
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
2:28
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.2
19:39
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
12:15
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
16:35
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.3
17:47
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.2
22:26
Total
3
6
9
4
42
10.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller344.8820.058:42L

Team Stats

BUFPHI
42Shots on Goal36
4Power Play Chances2
50%PP%50%
50%PK%50%
2PPG1
4Penalty Minutes8
21Hits23
23Blocked Shots20
23Giveaways20
9Takeaways12

Full Game Log

1ST
12:42GOAL (PHI): Glen Metropolit (4), assists: Arron Asham, Mike Richards
2ND
03:16GOAL (BUF): Jaroslav Spacek (5), assists: Derek Roy, Drew Stafford
08:57GOAL (PHI): Braydon Coburn (6), assists: Simon Gagne, Mike Richards
12:11GOAL (BUF): Jaroslav Spacek (6), assists: Paul Gaustad, Clarke MacArthur
14:03GOAL (PHI): Mike Richards (21), assists: Kimmo Timonen
19:29GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (21), assists: Drew Stafford, Tim Connolly
3RD
13:51GOAL (PHI): Mike Knuble (20), assists: Simon Gagne, Mike Richards
19:18GOAL (PHI): Mike Richards (22), unassisted
19:50GOAL (PHI): Darroll Powe (4), unassisted
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