@ PHI (Feb 19, 2009)vs ANA (Feb 24, 2009) ›

February 21, 2009

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NYR 24 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR0022
BUF2114
Shots on goal NYR 33, BUF 33W R. MillerL H. Lundqvist
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 4-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller 1.000
Buffalo P. Lalime .846
NYR H. Lundqvist .879
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
NYR 1 of 2
TURNING POINT
D. Paille goal (P1 15:50), Sabres win chance rises from 57% to 76%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
5
SHOTS
J. Pominville
21:38
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
22:58
TOI (D)
R. Miller
1.000 (20/20)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 16 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+14+70-7-14shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 15:50D. Paille (7) 57% to 76%+19
  2. P1 18:40A. Sekera (2) 77% to 90%+13
  3. P2 13:42D. Roy (22) 94% to 98%+4
  4. P1 09:00Holding on Michal Rozsival, 2 min 58% to 61%+3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
2
3
+2
0
2
2.6
20:54
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
21:32
#20 D. Paille (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.1
13:17
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
1.0
16:12
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
5
1.1
19:22
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.6
22:58
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
18:44
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
16:20
#44 A. Sekera (D)
1
0
1
+2
0
1
0.9
17:36
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
1
1
0
4
3
0.5
18:04
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:22
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
19:12
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
5:47
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
+2
0
3
0.3
21:38
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.3
7:54
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
7:06
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
17:14
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
19:33
Total
4
8
12
4
33
11.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller2001.0002.041:51W
#40 P. Lalime132.846-0.418:06

Team Stats

NYRBUF
33Shots on Goal33
2Power Play Chances4
50%PP%25%
75%PK%50%
1PPG1
8Penalty Minutes4
29Hits18
9Blocked Shots15
4Giveaways12
4Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
15:50GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (7), assists: Derek Roy, Chris Butler
18:40GOAL (BUF): Andrej Sekera (2), assists: Derek Roy, Jaroslav Spacek
2ND
13:42GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (22), assists: Paul Gaustad, Craig Rivet
3RD
02:22GOAL (NYR): Markus Naslund (18), assists: Scott Gomez, Chris Drury
11:53GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (7), assists: Tim Connolly, Henrik Tallinder
15:17GOAL (NYR): Nigel Dawes (10), assists: Nikolay Zherdev, Dmitri Kalinin
@ PHI (Feb 19, 2009)vs ANA (Feb 24, 2009) ›