vs NJD (Apr 4, 2009)@ TOR (Apr 8, 2009) ›

April 6, 2009

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

DET 41 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs DET all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
DET0134
BUF0011
Shots on goal DET 32, BUF 33W C. OsgoodL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 1-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .903
DET C. Osgood .970
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
DET 1 of 2
TURNING POINT
B. Stuart goal (P2 18:41), Sabres win chance drops from 48% to 21%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
P. Gaustad
1 (1G)
POINTS
A. Mair
6
SHOTS
D. Roy
20:34
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
22:13
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.903 (28/31)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFDET

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFDET

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDET
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 18:41B. Stuart (2) 48% to 21%-27
  2. P3 00:36M. Hossa (39) 20% to 6%-14
  3. P2 19:00Fighting on Drew Stafford, 5 min 18% to 12%-6
  4. P2 16:59Holding on Maxim Afinogenov, 2 min 48% to 43%-5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
6
1.2
12:13
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.3
16:38
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
1
1
0
0
5
0.9
21:12
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.2
20:34
#17 D. Moore (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
12:27
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
1
-0.1
18:14
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
12:43
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
1
0.3
15:22
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
12:54
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-3
0
5
0.5
18:29
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:43
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:48
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
12:29
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
20:53
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.2
22:13
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.1
17:10
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
17:57
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
16:34
Total
1
2
3
13
33
5.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller313.9030.658:45L

Team Stats

DETBUF
32Shots on Goal33
2Power Play Chances4
50%PP%0%
100%PK%50%
1PPG0
17Penalty Minutes13
13Hits13
14Blocked Shots12
15Giveaways17
6Takeaways9

Full Game Log

2ND
18:41GOAL (DET): Brad Stuart (2), assists: Marian Hossa, Tomas Holmstrom
3RD
00:36GOAL (DET): Marian Hossa (39), assists: Nicklas Lidstrom, Henrik Zetterberg
09:17GOAL (DET): Marian Hossa (40), assists: Pavel Datsyuk, Tomas Holmstrom
09:54GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (11), assists: Adam Mair, Craig Rivet
19:23GOAL (DET): Nicklas Lidstrom (15), assists: Jonathan Ericsson, Pavel Datsyuk
vs NJD (Apr 4, 2009)@ TOR (Apr 8, 2009) ›