vs DET (Apr 6, 2009)@ CAR (Apr 9, 2009) ›

April 8, 2009

Air Canada Centre | Toronto

BUF 31 TOR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0123
TOR1001
Shots on goal BUF 29, TOR 33W R. MillerL C. Joseph
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .970
TOR C. Joseph .897
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 2
TOR 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P3 8:09), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 85%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Pominville
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
22:12
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
22:38
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.970 (32/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 08:09T. Vanek (38) 51% to 85%+34
  2. P1 16:22J. Finger (6) 52% to 31%-21
  3. P2 01:50J. Pominville (18) 33% to 52%+19
  4. P3 08:35P. Gaustad (12) 85% to 97%+12

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
1
2
+1
2
6
1.8
17:29
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
2
2
+2
0
2
1.5
20:33
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.8
17:39
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
13:02
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
2
1
0.7
12:12
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.1
18:22
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
19:52
#17 D. Moore (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.4
18:20
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
19:17
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
2:43
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
2:05
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
22:12
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
4:32
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
22:38
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
21:46
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
16:34
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
1
0.0
19:24
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
19:20
Total
3
5
8
12
29
8.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller331.9702.560:00W

Team Stats

BUFTOR
29Shots on Goal33
2Power Play Chances6
50%PP%0%
100%PK%50%
1PPG0
12Penalty Minutes4
28Hits21
21Blocked Shots12
17Giveaways13
9Takeaways13

Full Game Log

1ST
16:22GOAL (TOR): Jeff Finger (6), assists: Jason Blake, Christian Hanson
2ND
01:50GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (18), assists: Jaroslav Spacek, Drew Stafford
3RD
08:09GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (38), assists: Jason Pominville
08:35GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (12), assists: Adam Mair, Jaroslav Spacek
vs DET (Apr 6, 2009)@ CAR (Apr 9, 2009) ›