vs PIT (Dec 29, 2009)@ MTL (Jan 3, 2010) ›

January 1, 2010

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

ATL 34 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
ATL03003
BUF01214
Shots on goal ATL 35, BUF 23W R. MillerL J. Hedberg
Summary

ATL had more shot attempts in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-3 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .914
ATL J. Hedberg .826
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
ATL 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
D. Roy goal (OT 4:02), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 100%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Hecht
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
4
SHOTS
D. Roy
19:06
TOI (F)
T. Myers
23:08
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.914 (32/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-ATL.
 1ST2ND3RDOTTotal
Faceoffs Won13-59-127-111-030-28
Hits3-76-44-32-115-15
Takeaways1-01-01-10-03-1
Giveaways1-58-82-31-012-16
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.081ATL 0.919. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:02
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

OT 4:02
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 04:02D. Roy (1) 51% to 100%+49
  2. P3 04:15J. Hecht (2) 22% to 54%+32
  3. P2 09:56I. Kovalchuk (1) 56% to 31%-25
  4. P2 11:52E. Kane (1) 30% to 12%-18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
OT 4:02
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#55 J. Hecht (C)
2
1
3
+2
2
2
2.2
14:50
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
1
2
+2
2
3
1.5
17:25
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
2
2
+2
2
1
1.2
12:04
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
1
0.9
19:06
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
1
0.5
19:28
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
0
0.6
20:54
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
22:27
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
23:08
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
14:49
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
18:00
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
18:48
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
16:10
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
12:59
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
12:38
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
7:42
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
14:34
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
18:58
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
22:02
Total
4
8
12
14
23
9.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller353.9141.064:02W

Team Stats

ATLBUF
35Shots on Goal23
9.5%Shooting % (5v5)17.6%
.824Save % (5v5).905
0.919PDO (5v5)1.081
28 (48%)Faceoffs Won30 (52%)
6Power Play Chances3
17%PP%0%
100%PK%83%
1PPG0
8Penalty Minutes14
15Hits15
12Blocked Shots5
16Giveaways12
1Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
09:56GOAL (ATL): Ilya Kovalchuk (1), assists: Nik Antropov, Zach Bogosian
11:52GOAL (ATL): Evander Kane (1), assists: Anssi Salmela, Rich Peverley
16:29GOAL (ATL): Bryan Little (1), assists: Todd White, Toby Enstrom(PP)
17:09GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (1), assists: Toni Lydman, Steve Montador
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
02:19GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (1), assists: Jochen Hecht, Adam Mair
04:15GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (2), assists: Adam Mair, Tim Connolly
20:00Period end
OT
00:00Period start
04:02GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (1), assists: Tyler Myers, Chris Butler
vs PIT (Dec 29, 2009)@ MTL (Jan 3, 2010) ›