@ BOS (Mar 29, 2010)@ TOR (Apr 1, 2010) ›

March 31, 2010

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

FLA 26 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA1012
BUF2226
Shots on goal FLA 15, BUF 41W R. MillerL T. Vokoun
Summary

Buffalo had more shot attempts in all situations and won 6-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .867
FLA T. Vokoun .854
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 2
FLA 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
J. Pominville goal (P1 9:22), Sabres win chance rises from 41% to 61%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
R. Torres
3 (3A)
POINTS
N. Gerbe
6
SHOTS
D. Roy
17:33
TOI (F)
C. Butler
20:41
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.867 (13/15)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFFLA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-FLA.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won10-68-99-1327-28
Hits6-103-93-712-26
Takeaways4-12-24-210-5
Giveaways4-45-46-215-10
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.965FLA 1.035. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 11 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+33+170-17-33shot attemptsBUFFLA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 61%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 09:22J. Pominville (1) 41% to 61%+20
  2. P1 18:09T. Kennedy (1) 60% to 79%+19
  3. P1 01:51J. Taffe (1) 61% to 43%-18
  4. P2 09:31N. Gerbe (1), power play 83% to 93%+10

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:18
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 R. Torres (LW)
0
3
3
+1
0
2
2.1
12:15
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
2
2
+1
0
4
1.6
11:51
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
1
1
2
+4
2
3
1.7
18:27
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
1.0
17:33
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
1.0
13:31
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
10:46
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
14:20
#42 N. Gerbe (C)
1
0
1
0
0
6
1.3
16:14
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
15:12
#63 T. Ennis (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
15:34
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
1
1
0
0
5
0.9
19:29
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
1
1
+3
0
1
0.7
20:13
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
16:05
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:25
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
17:04
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
20:27
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
20:41
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
19:53
Total
6
10
16
2
41
14.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller152.867-0.260:00W

Team Stats

FLABUF
15Shots on Goal41
16.7%Shooting % (5v5)13.2%
.868Save % (5v5).833
1.035PDO (5v5)0.965
28 (51%)Faceoffs Won27 (49%)
2Power Play Chances2
0%PP%50%
50%PK%100%
0PPG1
4Penalty Minutes4
26Hits12
14Blocked Shots10
10Giveaways15
5Takeaways10

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
01:51GOAL (FLA): Jeff Taffe (1), assists: Steve MacIntyre, Bryan McCabe
09:22GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (1), assists: Henrik Tallinder, Jochen Hecht
18:09GOAL (BUF): Tim Kennedy (1), assists: Derek Roy, Steve Montador
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
09:31GOAL (BUF): Nathan Gerbe (1), assists: Raffi Torres, Tyler Myers(PP)
12:38GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (1), assists: Matt Ellis, Raffi Torres
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
01:26GOAL (FLA): Michael Frolik (1), assists: Nathan Horton, Stephen Weiss
07:32GOAL (BUF): Tyler Ennis (1), unassisted
08:05GOAL (BUF): Henrik Tallinder (1), assists: Raffi Torres, Matt Ellis
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