vs CAR (Jan 23, 2014)@ PIT (Jan 27, 2014) ›

January 25, 2014

Nationwide Arena | Columbus

BUF 52 CBJ

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CBJ all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF2125
CBJ1012
Shots on goal BUF 22, CBJ 38W R. MillerL S. Bobrovsky
Summary

CBJ had more shot attempts in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .947
CBJ C. McElhinney .909
CBJ S. Bobrovsky .700
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 1
CBJ 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
C. Ehrhoff, shorthanded goal (P1 19:30), Sabres win chance rises from 35% to 58%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
SHIFTS
Buffalo pinned 1:59 at 5v5 (typical 0:53)
Game Leaders
C. Ehrhoff
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
C. Ehrhoff
1.7
GAME SCORE
M. Ellis
3
SHOTS
S. Ott
20:30
TOI (F)
T. Myers
23:14
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.947 (36/38)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCBJ

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-CBJ.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won6-910-612-1228-27
Hits12-55-84-921-22
Takeaways4-21-10-15-4
Giveaways1-02-10-03-1
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.056CBJ 0.944. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 9 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+60+300-30-60shot attemptsBUFCBJ

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 34%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCBJ
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 19:30C. Ehrhoff (1), shorthanded 35% to 58%+23
  2. P1 12:53D. MacKenzie (1) 57% to 36%-21
  3. P2 03:28M. Foligno (1), shorthanded 59% to 79%+20
  4. P1 02:21M. Ellis (1) 34% to 53%+19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 18:27
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2013–14 regular season (82 games).

Wins (21)Losses (61, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 60% when yes, 15% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 29% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 35% when yes, 21% when no

Shift Rhythm

Buffalo was pinned for 1:59 at 5v5, well above the typical 0:53 a game, and gave up 5 shot attempts in that time.

T. Ennis was out for 1:03 of it, the most on the team.

Columbus was pinned for 1:29 at 5v5, well above the typical 0:53 a game.

BUFCBJTypical game, 2025–26
Pinned time (5v5)1:591:290:53
Shot attempts against while pinned501
Short-rest shifts112022

When Buffalo was pinned

PeriodClockPinnedSkaters (unbroken play)Attempts againstGA
P18:55 to 9:230:2800
P115:13 to 15:420:2910
P27:04 to 7:200:1600
P212:41 to 12:590:1810
P214:07 to 14:320:25
S. Ott 1:25
30

When Columbus was pinned

PeriodClockPinnedSkaters (unbroken play)Attempts againstGA
P19:01 to 9:210:2000
P115:13 to 15:360:2300
P26:51 to 6:570:0600
P29:30 to 9:410:1100
P212:48 to 13:170:2900
How this is measured

Pinned. A team is pinned when 3 or more of its skaters on the ice are past a minute of unbroken play, at 5v5. A hemmed-in shift is an even-strength shift in which the unit was on for more than 1:00 without a whistle to change on, and stayed at even strength for most of it. A stoppage inside a shift starts the clock over, however it began: what counts is the run of play they could not get off the ice for. Only the time past the minute counts: the first minute of those shifts plays like any other stretch of the game, while past it the play tilts hard toward the end the pinned team is defending (in 2025–26, a pinned team took 24% of the shot attempts; pinned time was 1.9% of all 5v5 play). Pinned time is seconds on the clock, not each skater's seconds added up.

Short rest. An even-strength shift a skater started after less than 45 seconds on the bench, same period only (an intermission is a full rest).

Typical game. The middle value across Buffalo games in the 2025–26 regular season, counting both teams (164 team totals), so it stands in for a league-average game. This season has no measured row yet, so 2025–26 stands in. A sentence at the top only appears when a number is among the highest fifth of those, or when a goal went in while a team was pinned.

Shots at an empty net are left out of every row. None of this says why a goal went in: a unit that cannot change is pinned and tiring at the same time, so these rows describe when the danger came, not what caused it.

Shift by shift

Shift length, in order, for one Buffalo skater this game.

27 shifts, averaging 0:49. 2 hemmed-in, 0 after a short rest, 0:16 pinned.

Replay
Shift 27
Hemmed-in shiftShort rest before itGoal forGoal againstPenalty takenPower playPenalty killPeriod average and middle half of shifts (even strength)
P1avg 0:44P2avg 1:04P3avg 0:510:000:301:001:302:00151015202527Shift Number

Period averages are even strength only. Typical in 2025–26: 0:45, 0:50 (the long change), 0:47.

Line Combinations

Lines and pairs at 5v5, and how they did together.

What do TOI, CF, xG% etc. mean?
GP
Games in which this exact line/pair shared the ice together at 5v5.
TOI
Time on ice together at 5v5, meaning the whole line/pair on the ice at once, not any one player's own total. Only the seconds that exact pair or trio was the unit count, which is why a pair's TOI and xG% here differ slightly from the WOWY table, where together counts every 5v5 second the two share, whoever else is on the ice.
xGF / xGA
Expected goals for/against while this combo was on the ice, from this site's own xG model.
xG%
Share of on-ice expected goals this combo earned: xGF / (xGF + xGA). The single best read on who controlled play.
GF / GA
Actual goals for/against while this combo was on the ice together.
CF / CA (Corsi For / Against, Shot Attempts)
"Corsi" is just the hockey-analytics name for total shot attempts: shots on goal, missed shots, and blocked shots combined, a volume proxy for who had the puck more. CF is this combo's own attempts, CA is the opponent's.
CF%
Share of on-ice shot attempts (Corsi) this combo earned: CF / (CF + CA).
CF% Rel
This combo's CF% minus the team's own CF% in the minutes this exact combo was NOT on the ice. Positive means the combo lifted the team's play; negative means it dragged it down.
xGF% Rel
This combo's xG% minus the team's own xG% in the minutes this exact combo was NOT on the ice. Positive means the combo lifted the team's expected-goals share; negative means it dragged it down.
FF / FA
Unblocked shot attempts (also called Fenwick): shots on goal plus misses, excluding blocks. One layer closer to real scoring chances than CF/CA.
SF / SA
Shots on goal for/against while this combo was on the ice together.
Minimum Ice Time
Drag the slider on each table down to see combos with less shared ice time. Their percentages get noisier the lower you go, since a combo that barely played together can swing to 100% or 0% off a single shot.
STRENGTH
Forward Lines
LineGPTOIGFGACFCACF%CF% RelFFFASFSA
Moulson–Stafford–Ennis110:270051722.7%-1.2%21429
Foligno–Varone–Flynn19:150161331.6%8.6%5746
Ott–Hodgson–Girgensons19:071071335.0%12.4%6653
Konopka–Ellis–Leino13:18112340.0%16.6%2321
Ellis–Moulson–Ennis12:09003350.0%27.0%3332
Pageof 1
Defense Pairs
LineGPTOIGFGACFCACF%CF% RelFFFASFSA
Tallinder–Myers115:291182425.0%1.4%416411
Ehrhoff–Ruhwedel113:3010132138.2%17.2%1212107
Weber–McBain113:23012267.1%-19.3%217210
Pageof 1

Three Stars

1R. MillerBUF | G2.00 GAA, .947 SV%
2C. EhrhoffBUF | D1G 2A 3P
3D. MacKenzieCBJ | C1G 1A 2P

Box Score

ON-ICE RATES
Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
iGAx
On-Ice
Game Score
TOI
On-Ice TOIxGF%xGF% RelCF%CF% RelFF%GF%PDOxGSGS
#10 C. Ehrhoff (D)
1
2
3
+4
0
3
15:5434.1%+18.0%43.3%100.0%1.091
1.7
21:47
#19 C. Hodgson (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
2
10:2133.3%+12.9%46.2%100.0%1.200
1.4
11:56
#9 S. Ott (C)
1
0
1
+2
0
1
14:2623.1%+0.2%28.6%100.0%1.143
0.1
20:30
#23 V. Leino (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
6:2327.3%+4.8%33.3%50.0%1.083
0.3
6:23
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
8:2625.0%+2.5%31.3%50.0%1.057
0.5
11:02
#82 M. Foligno (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
12:5820.7%-3.1%29.4%0.0%0.900
-0.1
16:22
#4 J. McBain (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
15:548.6%-21.2%12.5%0.0%0.923
-0.6
19:28
#20 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
16:5122.2%-1.1%17.4%50.0%1.173
-0.1
22:16
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
12:1718.5%-5.9%11.1%1.000
-0.7
12:17
#24 Z. Konopka (C)
0
0
0
0
5
0
7:1118.2%-5.3%33.3%50.0%1.000
-0.2
8:44
#26 M. Moulson (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
17:1821.6%-2.0%19.2%1.000
-0.8
18:21
#28 Z. Girgensons (C)
0
0
0
+3
0
0
11:5828.6%+7.6%41.2%100.0%1.167
-0.4
15:58
#63 T. Ennis (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
17:4623.3%+0.5%21.2%1.000
-1.2
18:53
#65 B. Flynn (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
13:3218.2%-6.8%22.7%0.0%0.917
-1.1
18:31
#84 P. Varone (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
11:0425.0%+2.6%31.3%0.0%0.875
-0.5
11:54
#5 C. Ruhwedel (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
15:0836.8%+21.3%48.1%100.0%1.091
0.0
16:09
#6 M. Weber (D)
0
0
0
0
4
2
16:068.6%-21.2%12.0%0.0%0.929
-1.6
18:15
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
17:0721.6%-2.0%16.0%50.0%1.183
-1.0
23:14
Total
5
6
11
13
22
-4.6

On-ice rates are 5-on-5. Rel compares to the team with that skater off the ice.

GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller382.9472.160:00W

Team Stats

BUFCBJ
22Shots on Goal38
11.1%Shooting % (5v5)5.6%
.944Save % (5v5).889
1.056PDO (5v5)0.944
28 (51%)Faceoffs Won27 (49%)
1Power Play Chances4
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
13Penalty Minutes7
21Hits22
30Blocked Shots6
3Giveaways1
5Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
02:21GOAL (BUF): Matt Ellis (1), assists: Henrik Tallinder, Ville Leino
12:53GOAL (CBJ): Derek MacKenzie (1), assists: Ryan Murray, Mark Letestu
19:30GOAL (BUF): Christian Ehrhoff (1), unassisted(SH)
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
03:28GOAL (BUF): Marcus Foligno (1), assists: Jamie McBain, Christian Ehrhoff(SH)
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
03:51GOAL (BUF): Steve Ott (1), assists: Cody Hodgson, Christian Ehrhoff
05:21GOAL (CBJ): Mark Letestu (1), assists: Derek MacKenzie, Corey Tropp
18:09GOAL (BUF): Cody Hodgson (1), unassisted(EN)
20:00Period end
20:00Game end
vs CAR (Jan 23, 2014)@ PIT (Jan 27, 2014) ›