vs MTL (Mar 5, 1995)@ PIT (Mar 11, 1995) ›

March 8, 1995

Montreal Forum | Montreal

BUF 22 MTL

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1012
MTL0202
Shots on goal BUF 16, MTL 33
Summary

MTL had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 2-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .939
MTL P. Roy .875
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 7
MTL 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
A. Mogilny goal (P3 8:41), Sabres win chance rises from 17% to 51%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Mogilny
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Hasek
.939 (31/33)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 08:41A. Mogilny (8) 17% to 51%+34
  2. P2 15:07B. Fogarty (2) 50% to 26%-24
  3. P2 10:15J. Daigneault (2) 75% to 52%-23
  4. P1 05:11D. Audette (10) 53% to 70%+17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1994–95 regular season (48 games).

Wins (22)Losses (19, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 35% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 75% when yes, 33% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 65% when yes, 46% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#89 A. Mogilny (RW)
1
1
2
0
0
2
1.6
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.7
#28 D. Audette (RW)
1
0
1
+1
7
2
0.6
#4 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
-1
4
0
0.3
#12 P. Ambroziak (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#13 Y. Khmylev (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#14 D. Hannan (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#18 W. Presley (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#20 R. Sweeney (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#27 B. May (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#5 C. Muni (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#7 P. Svoboda (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#8 D. Bodger (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#22 C. Huddy (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.0
Total
2
3
5
17
16
3.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek332.9391.665:00T

Team Stats

BUFMTL
16Shots on Goal33
7Power Play Chances5
14%PP%20%
80%PK%86%
1PPG1
17Penalty Minutes32

Full Game Log

1ST
05:11GOAL (BUF): Donald Audette (10), assists: Alexander Mogilny, Alexei Zhitnik
2ND
10:15GOAL (MTL): J.J. Daigneault (2), assists: Vincent Damphousse, Benoit Brunet
15:07GOAL (MTL): Bryan Fogarty (2), assists: Vincent Damphousse, Mike Keane
3RD
08:41GOAL (BUF): Alexander Mogilny (8), assists: Derek Plante
vs MTL (Mar 5, 1995)@ PIT (Mar 11, 1995) ›