@ DAL (Oct 24, 1995)@ CHI (Oct 29, 1995) ›

October 27, 1995

McNichols Sports Arena | Denver

BUF 45 COL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs COL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF2114
COL1225
Shots on goal BUF 29, COL 32W S. FisetL D. Hasek
Summary

COL had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-4.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .844
COL S. Fiset .862
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 7
COL 2 of 9
TURNING POINT
T. Murray goal (P3 3:53), Sabres win chance drops from 47% to 18%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
B. Holzinger
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
D. Hasek
.844 (27/32)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCOL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 03:53T. Murray (1) 47% to 18%-29
  2. P2 16:59J. Dawe (4) 30% to 52%+22
  3. P2 01:56A. Kovalenko (2) 67% to 46%-21
  4. P1 10:53M. Barnaby (1) 46% to 64%+18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1995–96 regular season (82 games).

Wins (33)Losses (42, 6 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 60% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 61% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 70% when yes, 27% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 50% when yes, 30% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
2
1
3
-1
2
4
2.4
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
1
1
2
-1
2
2
1.5
#10 B. May (LW)
0
1
1
-1
2
0
0.4
#25 R. Conn (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
1
0
1
0
12
2
0.6
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
#8 D. Bodger (D)
0
1
1
-1
2
1
0.6
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
#13 Y. Khmylev (LW)
0
0
0
0
6
4
-0.1
#17 B. Hughes (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
10
0
-0.1
#41 D. Hannan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#5 C. Muni (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#6 D. Houda (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#21 M. Astley (D)
0
0
0
-1
6
0
-0.4
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
Total
4
7
11
44
29
7.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek325.844-1.059:44L

Team Stats

BUFCOL
29Shots on Goal32
7Power Play Chances9
29%PP%22%
78%PK%71%
2PPG2
44Penalty Minutes32

Full Game Log

1ST
05:13GOAL (COL): Peter Forsberg (2), assists: Joe Sakic, Sandis Ozolinsh
07:34GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (3), assists: Doug Bodger, Dominik Hasek
10:53GOAL (BUF): Matthew Barnaby (1), assists: Michael Peca, Rob Conn
2ND
01:56GOAL (COL): Andrei Kovalenko (2), assists: Joe Sakic, Scott Young
04:11GOAL (COL): Peter Forsberg (3), assists: Sandis Ozolinsh, Mike Ricci
16:59GOAL (BUF): Jason Dawe (4), assists: Brian Holzinger, Garry Galley
3RD
03:53GOAL (COL): Troy Murray (1), assists: Stephane Yelle, Andrei Kovalenko
13:40GOAL (COL): Claude Lemieux (2), assists: Peter Forsberg
17:16GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (4), assists: Jason Dawe, Brad May
@ DAL (Oct 24, 1995)@ CHI (Oct 29, 1995) ›