@ FLA (Nov 11, 1995)vs DAL (Nov 15, 1995) ›

November 12, 1995

Thunderdome | St. Petersburg

BUF 64 TBL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0246
TBL2114
Shots on goal BUF 34, TBL 34W A. TrefilovL D. Wilkinson
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 6-4.

IN NET
Buffalo A. Trefilov .882
TBL D. Wilkinson .824
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 6
TBL 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
B. Hughes goal (P3 6:39), Sabres win chance rises from 18% to 50%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Hannan
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
D. Plante
6
SHOTS
A. Trefilov
.882 (30/34)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 06:39B. Hughes (2) 18% to 50%+32
  2. P3 07:41D. Hannan (3) 56% to 83%+27
  3. P1 04:10S. Burr (4) 50% to 33%-17
  4. P2 15:28D. Hannan (2) 9% to 25%+16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1995–96 regular season (82 games).

Wins (33)Losses (42, 6 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 60% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 61% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 70% when yes, 27% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 50% when yes, 30% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#41 D. Hannan (C)
2
1
3
+2
0
4
2.4
#13 Y. Khmylev (LW)
0
2
2
0
0
5
1.5
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
1
1
2
+2
5
4
1.6
#10 B. May (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
#17 B. Hughes (LW)
1
0
1
+2
0
1
0.8
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
#25 R. Conn (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.4
#26 D. Plante (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
6
1.2
#29 D. Jackson (RW)
1
0
1
0
4
2
0.6
#8 D. Bodger (D)
0
1
1
-1
2
2
0.7
#22 C. Huddy (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
+3
0
2
0.7
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
2
0.0
#5 C. Muni (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#6 D. Houda (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
Total
6
11
17
15
34
13.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 A. Trefilov344.8820.060:00W

Team Stats

BUFTBL
34Shots on Goal34
6Power Play Chances4
17%PP%25%
75%PK%83%
1PPG1
15Penalty Minutes29

Full Game Log

1ST
04:10GOAL (TBL): Shawn Burr (4), assists: John Cullen, Roman Hamrlik
19:59GOAL (TBL): Petr Klima (8), assists: Roman Hamrlik, Brian Bradley
2ND
15:28GOAL (BUF): Dave Hannan (2), assists: Brad May, Yuri Khmylev
16:10GOAL (TBL): Brian Bellows (6), assists: Brian Bradley
18:58GOAL (BUF): Dane Jackson (1), assists: Charlie Huddy, Dave Hannan
3RD
01:09GOAL (TBL): Alexander Selivanov (8), assists: John Cullen, Petr Klima
05:23GOAL (BUF): Derek Plante (2), assists: Randy Burridge, Rob Conn
06:39GOAL (BUF): Brent Hughes (2), assists: Matthew Barnaby
07:41GOAL (BUF): Dave Hannan (3), assists: Doug Bodger, Yuri Khmylev
15:00GOAL (BUF): Matthew Barnaby (2), assists: Brian Holzinger, Alexei Zhitnik
@ FLA (Nov 11, 1995)vs DAL (Nov 15, 1995) ›