vs TOR (Jan 5, 1996)@ WIN (Jan 10, 1996) ›

January 6, 1996

Montreal Forum | Montreal

BUF 76 MTL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF3137
MTL3216
Shots on goal BUF 33, MTL 27W J. BlueL J. Thibault
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 7-6.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .667
Buffalo J. Blue .810
MTL J. Thibault .788
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
MTL 2 of 5
TURNING POINT
P. LaFontaine goal (P3 17:20), Sabres win chance rises from 48% to 94%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dawe
3 (3G)
POINTS
J. Blue
.810 (17/21)
SAVE %

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 27 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 17:20P. LaFontaine (17) 48% to 94%+46
  2. P3 17:02R. Burridge (13) 8% to 48%+40
  3. P3 10:47P. Turgeon (20) 48% to 13%-35
  4. P3 04:40J. Dawe (10) 18% to 47%+29

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1995–96 regular season (82 games).

Wins (33)Losses (42, 6 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 60% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 61% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 70% when yes, 27% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 50% when yes, 30% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
2
1
3
+2
0
7
2.7
#28 D. Audette (RW)
1
2
3
+1
0
5
2.4
#41 D. Hannan (C)
0
3
3
+4
0
0
2.0
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
3
0
3
+2
0
4
2.6
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
1
0
1
-1
0
4
1.1
#13 Y. Khmylev (LW)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.8
#17 B. Hughes (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
1
1
-1
4
1
0.3
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.6
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.9
#34 M. Wilson (D)
0
1
1
+4
0
0
0.6
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
#5 C. Muni (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#6 D. Houda (D)
0
0
0
+3
2
0
-0.1
#21 M. Astley (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
3
0.1
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
2
0.0
Total
7
12
19
10
33
14.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#1 J. Blue214.810-1.340:34W
#0 M. Biron62.667-1.119:26

Team Stats

BUFMTL
33Shots on Goal27
4Power Play Chances5
0%PP%40%
60%PK%100%
0PPG2
10Penalty Minutes8

Full Game Log

1ST
00:14GOAL (MTL): Mark Recchi (12), assists: Pierre Turgeon, Vladimir Malakhov
02:04GOAL (MTL): Martin Rucinsky (8), assists: Saku Koivu
06:26GOAL (BUF): Jason Dawe (8), unassisted
13:46GOAL (BUF): Jason Dawe (9), assists: Dave Hannan, Michael Peca
14:50GOAL (MTL): Pierre Turgeon (18), unassisted
15:58GOAL (BUF): Donald Audette (12), assists: Pat LaFontaine, Brent Hughes
2ND
03:01GOAL (MTL): Pierre Turgeon (19), assists: Valeri Bure
03:59GOAL (BUF): Pat LaFontaine (16), assists: Yuri Khmylev, Donald Audette
16:41GOAL (MTL): Valeri Bure (8), assists: Turner Stevenson, Saku Koivu
3RD
04:40GOAL (BUF): Jason Dawe (10), assists: Garry Galley, Dave Hannan
10:47GOAL (MTL): Pierre Turgeon (20), assists: Mark Recchi
17:02GOAL (BUF): Randy Burridge (13), assists: Dave Hannan, Derek Plante
17:20GOAL (BUF): Pat LaFontaine (17), assists: Donald Audette, Mike Wilson
vs TOR (Jan 5, 1996)@ WIN (Jan 10, 1996) ›