@ MTL (Jan 6, 1996)@ CGY (Jan 12, 1996) ›

January 10, 1996

Winnipeg Arena | Winnipeg

BUF 14 WIN

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WIN all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0101
WIN0134
Shots on goal BUF 34, WIN 34W T. CheveldaeL D. Hasek
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 1-4.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .882
WIN T. Cheveldae .971
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 9
WIN 2 of 7
TURNING POINT
K. Tkachuk goal (P3 7:25), Sabres win chance drops from 45% to 16%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
B. May
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Hasek
.882 (30/34)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWIN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 07:25K. Tkachuk (22) 45% to 16%-29
  2. P2 02:58B. May (8) 47% to 68%+21
  3. P2 06:18K. Tkachuk (21) 67% to 47%-20
  4. P3 07:54M. Stapleton (4) 16% to 3%-13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1995–96 regular season (82 games).

Wins (33)Losses (42, 6 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 60% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 61% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 70% when yes, 27% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 50% when yes, 30% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#10 B. May (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.0
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
3
0.6
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
#13 Y. Khmylev (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
0
0
0
0
4
3
-0.1
#17 B. Hughes (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
0
0
0
7
4
0.0
#41 D. Hannan (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#5 C. Muni (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#6 D. Houda (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#21 M. Astley (D)
0
0
0
-2
4
1
-0.2
#34 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.4
Total
1
2
3
21
34
3.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek344.8820.059:29L

Team Stats

BUFWIN
34Shots on Goal34
9Power Play Chances7
0%PP%29%
71%PK%100%
0PPG2
21Penalty Minutes27

Full Game Log

2ND
02:58GOAL (BUF): Brad May (8), assists: Derek Plante, Garry Galley
06:18GOAL (WIN): Keith Tkachuk (21), assists: Teppo Numminen, Norm MacIver
3RD
07:25GOAL (WIN): Keith Tkachuk (22), assists: Teppo Numminen, Alexei Zhamnov
07:54GOAL (WIN): Mike Stapleton (4), assists: Igor Korolev, Dave Manson
18:36GOAL (WIN): Alexei Zhamnov (15), assists: Teemu Selanne, Jeff Finley
@ MTL (Jan 6, 1996)@ CGY (Jan 12, 1996) ›