@ TOR (Nov 19, 1996)@ BOS (Nov 23, 1996) ›

November 21, 1996

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

TOR 36 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR0213
BUF2046
Shots on goal TOR 37, BUF 34W D. HasekL F. Potvin
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 6-3.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .919
TOR F. Potvin .808
TOR M. Cousineau 1.000
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 1
TOR 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
D. Audette goal (P3 0:47), Sabres win chance rises from 52% to 80%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Barnaby
4 (2G-2A)
POINTS
D. Plante
5
SHOTS
D. Hasek
.919 (34/37)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 00:47D. Audette (5) 52% to 80%+28
  2. P2 15:04W. Clark (11) 77% to 52%-25
  3. P1 06:48M. Barnaby (3) 53% to 71%+18
  4. P2 01:00L. Murphy (2) 88% to 73%-15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
2
2
4
+4
0
3
3.0
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
3
3
+4
0
1
2.0
#26 D. Plante (C)
2
0
2
+4
0
5
1.9
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
2
2
+1
0
3
1.3
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
1
1
-2
0
1
0.8
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
#28 D. Audette (RW)
1
0
1
-2
2
3
0.8
#32 R. Ray (RW)
1
0
1
+1
5
2
0.8
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
+3
0
1
0.8
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
+4
0
3
0.2
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
2
0.0
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
0
5
2
0.0
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#93 A. Semenov (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
#6 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
+1
17
2
-0.3
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.0
Total
6
10
16
31
34
12.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek373.9191.260:00W

Team Stats

TORBUF
37Shots on Goal34
3Power Play Chances1
0%PP%100%
0%PK%100%
0PPG1
37Penalty Minutes31

Full Game Log

1ST
06:48GOAL (BUF): Matthew Barnaby (3), assists: Jay McKee, Garry Galley
13:09GOAL (BUF): Derek Plante (8), assists: Matthew Barnaby, Alexei Zhitnik
2ND
01:00GOAL (TOR): Larry Murphy (2), assists: Doug Gilmour, Mats Sundin
15:04GOAL (TOR): Wendel Clark (11), assists: Mats Sundin
3RD
00:47GOAL (BUF): Donald Audette (5), assists: Jason Dawe, Alexei Zhitnik
04:19GOAL (BUF): Rob Ray (2), assists: Dixon Ward
04:46GOAL (BUF): Derek Plante (9), assists: Garry Galley, Matthew Barnaby
06:37GOAL (TOR): Kirk Muller (5), assists: Wendel Clark, Mats Sundin
19:58GOAL (BUF): Matthew Barnaby (4), assists: Garry Galley
@ TOR (Nov 19, 1996)@ BOS (Nov 23, 1996) ›