@ OTT (Apr 12, 1997)

April 13, 1997

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

WSH 83 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH4228
BUF1203
Shots on goal WSH 38, BUF 24W O. KolzigL S. Shields
Summary

WSH had more shots on goal in all situations and won 8-3.

IN NET
Buffalo S. Shields .789
WSH O. Kolzig .875
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
WSH 2 of 4
TURNING POINT
A. Nikolishin goal (P1 16:37), Sabres win chance drops from 59% to 39%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Peca
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
S. Shields
.789 (30/38)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 62%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 16:37A. Nikolishin (9) 59% to 39%-20
  2. P1 17:22J. Svejkovsky (4) 39% to 21%-18
  3. P1 13:44P. Bondra (46) 78% to 60%-18
  4. P1 02:37M. Peca (20) 59% to 75%+16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1996–97 regular season (82 games).

Wins (40)Losses (30, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 83% when yes, 48% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 85% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 71% when yes, 27% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#27 M. Peca (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
1
1.5
#10 B. May (LW)
0
1
1
-1
6
2
0.3
#15 D. Ward (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
#17 J. Dawe (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
#76 W. Primeau (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
2
0.9
#12 R. Burridge (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.1
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#28 D. Audette (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
#3 G. Galley (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
-0.1
#6 R. Boughner (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-3
6
0
-0.4
Total
3
4
7
14
24
5.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#31 S. Shields388.789-3.060:00L

Team Stats

WSHBUF
38Shots on Goal24
4Power Play Chances4
50%PP%25%
75%PK%50%
2PPG1
24Penalty Minutes14

Full Game Log

1ST
02:37GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (20), unassisted
13:44GOAL (WSH): Peter Bondra (46), assists: Phil Housley, Sylvain Cote
16:37GOAL (WSH): Andrei Nikolishin (9), assists: Sylvain Cote
17:22GOAL (WSH): Jaroslav Svejkovsky (4), assists: Joe Reekie
18:14GOAL (WSH): Jaroslav Svejkovsky (5), assists: Brendan Witt, Andrew Brunette
2ND
05:48GOAL (WSH): Ken Klee (3), assists: Craig Berube, Dale Hunter
09:15GOAL (BUF): Wayne Primeau (2), assists: Michal Grosek, Brad May
10:33GOAL (BUF): Dixon Ward (13), assists: Michael Peca, Jason Dawe
19:59GOAL (WSH): Phil Housley (11), assists: Peter Bondra, Andrei Nikolishin
3RD
12:18GOAL (WSH): Jaroslav Svejkovsky (6), assists: Kevin Kaminski
16:14GOAL (WSH): Jaroslav Svejkovsky (7), assists: Andrew Brunette, Kevin Kaminski
@ OTT (Apr 12, 1997)