vs MTL (Dec 18, 1998)@ CAR (Dec 21, 1998) ›

December 19, 1998

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

CAR 32 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CAR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR0213
BUF0022
Shots on goal CAR 20, BUF 40W T. KiddL D. Hasek
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 2-3.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .850
CAR T. Kidd .950
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
CAR 1 of 7
TURNING POINT
R. Francis goal (P2 2:06), Sabres win chance drops from 57% to 35%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
M. Peca
7
SHOTS
M. Peca
22:40
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
28:34
TOI (D)
D. Hasek
.850 (17/20)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCAR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 22 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+20+100-10-20shot attemptsBUFCAR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 60%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCAR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 02:06R. Francis (6) 57% to 35%-22
  2. P2 17:39K. Primeau (16) 27% to 9%-18
  3. P1 19:37Fighting on Jay McKee, 5 min 61% to 52%-9
  4. P2 10:55Fighting on Jay McKee, 5 min 31% to 23%-8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1998–99 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (28, 3 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 44% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 89% when yes, 20% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
1
2
+2
0
5
1.7
20:44
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
1
1
+2
0
3
0.9
17:19
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
0
1
+2
4
3
1.1
16:04
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
18:19
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
24:33
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
10:14
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.1
16:24
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
17:17
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
11:21
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
13:01
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
8:28
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
7
0.6
22:40
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
5:43
#80 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
10:57
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
12:10
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
2
5
0.2
20:19
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
6
0.4
28:34
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
20
0
0.3
13:25
Total
2
4
6
32
40
7.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek203.850-0.559:11L

Team Stats

CARBUF
20Shots on Goal40
7Power Play Chances6
14%PP%0%
100%PK%86%
1PPG0
22Penalty Minutes34
24Hits33
19Blocked Shots10
23Giveaways28
7Takeaways5

Full Game Log

2ND
02:06GOAL (CAR): Ron Francis (6), assists: Glen Wesley, Gary Roberts
17:39GOAL (CAR): Keith Primeau (16), assists: Ray Sheppard, Glen Wesley
3RD
06:35GOAL (CAR): Kevin Dineen (5), assists: Robert Kron, Nolan Pratt
07:05GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (7), assists: Michal Grosek, Darryl Shannon
18:22GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (9), assists: Richard Smehlik, Miroslav Satan
vs MTL (Dec 18, 1998)@ CAR (Dec 21, 1998) ›