vs ANA (Jan 1, 1999)@ ANA (Jan 6, 1999) ›

January 2, 1999

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

CGY 17 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CGY all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY0011
BUF2327
Shots on goal CGY 32, BUF 35W D. RolosonL A. Trefilov
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 7-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Roloson .969
CGY T. Garner .846
CGY A. Trefilov .773
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 4
CGY 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
D. Ward goal (P1 11:31), Sabres win chance rises from 63% to 80%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Ward
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
M. Peca
5
SHOTS
G. Sanderson
20:27
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
23:34
TOI (D)
D. Roloson
.969 (31/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCGY

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 12 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFCGY

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 63%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCGY
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 11:31D. Ward (12) 63% to 80%+17
  2. P1 19:06M. Satan (17) 80% to 92%+12
  3. P1 17:54Fighting on Rob Ray, 5 min 80% to 73%-7
  4. P1 17:54Fighting on Todd Simpson, 5 min 73% to 80%+7

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1998–99 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (28, 3 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 44% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 89% when yes, 20% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#15 D. Ward (LW)
2
1
3
0
0
3
2.5
17:09
#27 M. Peca (C)
1
2
3
0
0
5
2.5
20:03
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.6
15:26
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.5
12:35
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.7
17:48
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
2
2
+2
0
3
1.4
20:16
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
13:32
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
13:27
#36 M. Barnaby (RW)
0
1
1
+1
17
3
1.1
13:41
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.9
16:29
#80 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
20:27
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.5
19:35
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:50
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
+1
5
0
0.0
9:48
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
15:14
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
21:38
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
23:34
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
1
0.0
18:30
Total
7
13
20
26
35
17.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 D. Roloson321.9692.459:49W

Team Stats

CGYBUF
32Shots on Goal35
3Power Play Chances4
0%PP%75%
25%PK%100%
0PPG3
30Penalty Minutes28
21Hits23
7Blocked Shots17
21Giveaways26
5Takeaways8

Full Game Log

1ST
11:31GOAL (BUF): Dixon Ward (12), assists: Michael Peca, Jason Woolley
19:06GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (17), assists: Curtis Brown, Michal Grosek
2ND
11:57GOAL (BUF): Erik Rasmussen (2), assists: Matthew Barnaby, Geoff Sanderson
14:15GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (12), assists: Dixon Ward, Darryl Shannon
15:05GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (12), assists: Wayne Primeau, Darryl Shannon
3RD
01:16GOAL (BUF): Michal Grosek (10), assists: Miroslav Satan
06:50GOAL (BUF): Dixon Ward (13), assists: Michael Peca, Brian Holzinger
07:37GOAL (CGY): Jarome Iginla (15), assists: Theo Fleury, Jeff Shantz
vs ANA (Jan 1, 1999)@ ANA (Jan 6, 1999) ›