vs TBL (Mar 11, 1999)vs NYI (Mar 15, 1999) ›

March 13, 1999

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

BOS 13 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS0101
BUF1023
Shots on goal BOS 32, BUF 22W D. RolosonL B. Dafoe
Summary

BOS had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Roloson .969
BOS B. Dafoe .864
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
BOS 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
M. Grosek goal (P3 1:08), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 82%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Grosek
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Wilson
4
SHOTS
M. Satan
22:29
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
24:24
TOI (D)
D. Roloson
.969 (31/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 21 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 01:08M. Grosek (18) 53% to 82%+29
  2. P2 04:32S. Heinze (16) 76% to 54%-22
  3. P1 04:06M. Peca (26) 54% to 73%+19
  4. P3 09:19B. Holzinger (17) 87% to 98%+11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1998–99 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (28, 3 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 44% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 89% when yes, 20% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
14:51
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
18:18
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
14:24
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
14:52
#27 M. Peca (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
17:17
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.5
22:03
#80 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
12:33
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
22:29
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
6:25
#24 P. Kruse (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
5:51
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
5:49
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
17:18
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
17:57
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.4
19:24
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
18:27
#34 J. Grand-Pierre (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
17:33
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
22:15
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
24:24
Total
3
5
8
8
22
7.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 D. Roloson321.9692.459:56W

Team Stats

BOSBUF
32Shots on Goal22
4Power Play Chances2
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
4Penalty Minutes8
8Hits20
6Blocked Shots11
14Giveaways18
1Takeaways10

Full Game Log

1ST
04:06GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (26), assists: Vaclav Varada, Dixon Ward
2ND
04:32GOAL (BOS): Steve Heinze (16), assists: Joe Thornton, Anson Carter
3RD
01:08GOAL (BUF): Michal Grosek (18), assists: Miroslav Satan, Curtis Brown
09:19GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (17), assists: Geoff Sanderson
vs TBL (Mar 11, 1999)vs NYI (Mar 15, 1999) ›