vs BOS (Mar 13, 1999)@ NYR (Mar 19, 1999) ›

March 15, 1999

Marine Midland Arena | Buffalo

NYI 12 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI0011
BUF1012
Shots on goal NYI 24, BUF 22W D. RolosonL W. Flaherty
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Roloson .958
NYI W. Flaherty .909
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
NYI 1 of 8
TURNING POINT
M. Satan goal (P1 7:55), Sabres win chance rises from 67% to 82%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
2 (2G)
POINTS
S. Barnes
5
SHOTS
M. Satan
27:18
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
25:44
TOI (D)
D. Roloson
.958 (23/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 8 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFNYI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 66%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 07:55M. Satan (30) 67% to 82%+15
  2. P3 07:40M. Satan (31) 88% to 98%+10
  3. P3 08:11B. Smolinski (14) 98% to 89%-9
  4. P1 14:25Fighting on Paul Kruse, 5 min 82% to 75%-7

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1998–99 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (28, 3 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 31% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 44% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 89% when yes, 20% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#81 M. Satan (RW)
2
0
2
+1
4
4
1.5
27:18
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
19:58
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
17:17
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
1
1
0
2
0
0.7
20:51
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
13:42
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
4:51
#24 P. Kruse (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
3:29
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:03
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0:39
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.1
16:58
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
18:35
#80 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.2
11:52
#4 M. Wilson (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
15:14
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
21:34
#8 D. Shannon (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
16:37
#34 J. Grand-Pierre (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
15:24
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
19:57
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.3
25:44
Total
2
3
5
17
22
5.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 D. Roloson241.9581.660:00W

Team Stats

NYIBUF
24Shots on Goal22
8Power Play Chances5
13%PP%20%
80%PK%88%
1PPG1
15Penalty Minutes21
14Hits14
5Blocked Shots13
29Giveaways20
5Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
07:55GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (30), assists: Michael Peca, Michal Grosek
3RD
07:40GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (31), assists: Brian Holzinger
08:11GOAL (NYI): Bryan Smolinski (14), assists: Eric Brewer, Craig Janney
vs BOS (Mar 13, 1999)@ NYR (Mar 19, 1999) ›