@ PIT (Nov 16, 1999)vs ATL (Nov 20, 1999) ›

November 19, 1999

Philips Arena | Atlanta

BUF 40 ATL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0314
ATL0000
Shots on goal BUF 29, ATL 18W M. BironL S. Langkow
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-0.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron 1.000
ATL S. Langkow .893
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 8
ATL 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
M. Peca goal (P2 0:57), Sabres win chance rises from 54% to 73%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
M. Satan
5
SHOTS
M. Peca
24:10
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
26:06
TOI (D)
M. Biron
1.000 (18/18)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 21 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+18+90-9-18shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 00:57M. Peca (5) 54% to 73%+19
  2. P2 01:18M. Afinogenov (3) 73% to 88%+15
  3. P1 16:57Fighting on Matt Johnson, 5 min 52% to 61%+9
  4. P1 16:57Fighting on Rob Ray, 5 min 61% to 52%-9

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1999–00 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 72% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 63% when yes, 32% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
2
1
3
+3
0
2
2.4
13:35
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
2
2
+3
0
2
1.4
14:16
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
1
2
+3
0
1
1.5
18:58
#27 M. Peca (C)
1
0
1
0
4
2
0.7
24:10
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
1
1
0
2
3
0.8
19:52
#6 C. Sarich (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
15:46
#8 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
10:41
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
14:01
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
13:39
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
13:37
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
11:12
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
1
-0.1
4:49
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
17:24
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
15:03
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
+2
9
1
-0.4
16:48
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
16:36
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
26:06
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
22:13
Total
4
6
10
24
29
8.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron1801.0001.859:46W

Team Stats

BUFATL
29Shots on Goal18
8Power Play Chances4
13%PP%0%
100%PK%88%
1PPG0
24Penalty Minutes28
20Hits27
9Blocked Shots18
9Giveaways12
26Takeaways21

Full Game Log

2ND
00:57GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (5), assists: Stu Barnes
01:18GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (3), assists: Curtis Brown
10:50GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (8), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Michal Grosek
3RD
19:06GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (4), assists: Michal Grosek, Cory Sarich
@ PIT (Nov 16, 1999)vs ATL (Nov 20, 1999) ›