@ ATL (Nov 19, 1999)vs WSH (Nov 24, 1999) ›

November 20, 1999

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

ATL 34 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
ATL0123
BUF2114
Shots on goal ATL 27, BUF 26W M. BironL S. Langkow
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .889
ATL S. Langkow .846
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 8
ATL 1 of 7
TURNING POINT
W. Primeau goal (P1 13:16), Sabres win chance rises from 60% to 78%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
W. Primeau
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
C. Brown
5
SHOTS
S. Barnes
23:49
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
25:51
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.889 (24/27)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 13 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 61%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 13:16W. Primeau (2) 60% to 78%+18
  2. P1 18:40W. Primeau (3) 79% to 91%+12
  3. P1 13:42Slashing on Nelson Emerson, 5 min 78% to 84%+6
  4. P2 04:52S. Barnes (6) 92% to 98%+6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1999–00 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 72% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 63% when yes, 32% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#22 W. Primeau (C)
2
1
3
+1
0
3
2.6
12:36
#41 S. Barnes (C)
1
1
2
0
0
2
1.5
23:49
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
2
2
+1
0
3
1.5
17:19
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.9
11:04
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
1.0
13:44
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.6
15:24
#6 C. Sarich (D)
0
1
1
0
2
1
0.6
14:44
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.8
25:51
#8 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.4
2:49
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
10:52
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
17:51
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
-1
4
1
-0.2
22:23
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
4
2
0.0
3:41
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.6
22:40
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.6
18:59
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.1
16:35
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
20:23
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.1
16:55
Total
4
8
12
16
26
11.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron273.8890.260:00W

Team Stats

ATLBUF
27Shots on Goal26
7Power Play Chances8
14%PP%25%
75%PK%86%
1PPG2
29Penalty Minutes16
12Hits22
15Blocked Shots17
7Giveaways12
6Takeaways16

Full Game Log

1ST
13:16GOAL (BUF): Wayne Primeau (2), assists: James Patrick, Maxim Afinogenov
18:40GOAL (BUF): Wayne Primeau (3), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Maxim Afinogenov
2ND
04:52GOAL (BUF): Stu Barnes (6), assists: Wayne Primeau, Cory Sarich
08:52GOAL (ATL): Matt Johnson (2), assists: Johan Garpenlov, Chris Tamer
3RD
14:40GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (3), assists: Vaclav Varada, Stu Barnes
17:08GOAL (ATL): Ray Ferraro (4), assists: Kelly Buchberger, Mike Stapleton
17:29GOAL (ATL): Gord Murphy (1), assists: Andrew Brunette, Per Svartvadet
@ ATL (Nov 19, 1999)vs WSH (Nov 24, 1999) ›