vs ATL (Nov 20, 1999)vs STL (Nov 26, 1999) ›

November 24, 1999

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

WSH 25 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH0202
BUF1225
Shots on goal WSH 29, BUF 33W M. BironL O. Kolzig
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .931
WSH O. Kolzig .848
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
WSH 1 of 2
TURNING POINT
M. Satan goal (P2 7:03), Sabres win chance rises from 54% to 76%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
C. Brown
19:13
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
23:54
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.931 (27/29)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 19 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+17+90-9-17shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 07:03M. Satan (11) 54% to 76%+22
  2. P1 15:44M. Satan (10) 54% to 74%+20
  3. P2 03:53U. Dahlen (1) 73% to 54%-19
  4. P2 12:50U. Dahlen (2) 92% to 78%-14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1999–00 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 72% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 63% when yes, 32% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
3
3
+2
0
0
1.7
16:58
#81 M. Satan (RW)
2
1
3
+3
0
5
2.6
16:00
#37 C. Brown (C)
2
0
2
+1
0
5
1.9
19:13
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
2
2
+1
0
1
1.6
18:29
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
17:29
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
8:43
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
15:29
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
1
1
0
7
1
0.6
7:37
#8 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
15:34
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
8:26
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:22
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:58
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
16:45
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
16:43
#6 C. Sarich (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
2
0.2
23:07
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:49
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
6
0.5
23:54
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.3
19:02
Total
5
9
14
11
33
12.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron292.9311.260:00W

Team Stats

WSHBUF
29Shots on Goal33
2Power Play Chances4
50%PP%25%
75%PK%50%
1PPG1
15Penalty Minutes11
17Hits15
11Blocked Shots10
18Giveaways13
6Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
15:44GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (10), assists: Jason Woolley, Stu Barnes
2ND
03:53GOAL (WSH): Ulf Dahlen (1), assists: Adam Oates, Dmitri Mironov
07:03GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (11), assists: Wayne Primeau, Stu Barnes
08:16GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (9), assists: Jason Woolley, Stu Barnes
12:50GOAL (WSH): Ulf Dahlen (2), assists: Adam Oates
3RD
03:17GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (10), assists: Michal Grosek, Rob Ray
15:19GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (4), assists: Miroslav Satan
vs ATL (Nov 20, 1999)vs STL (Nov 26, 1999) ›