vs TOR (Mar 21, 2008)@ OTT (Mar 27, 2008) ›

March 25, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

OTT 63 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT1056
BUF0123
Shots on goal OTT 31, BUF 32W M. GerberL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 3-6.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .833
OTT M. Gerber .906
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
OTT 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
A. Volchenkov goal (P3 18:04), Sabres win chance drops from 51% to 4%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
2 (2G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
21:42
TOI (F)
A. Sekera
25:17
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.833 (25/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 25 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 18:04A. Volchenkov (1) 51% to 4%-47
  2. P3 14:02D. Alfredsson (39) 91% to 52%-39
  3. P3 02:38D. Roy (31) 52% to 82%+30
  4. P2 13:10D. Roy (30) 27% to 53%+26

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
2
0
2
-1
2
3
1.6
19:21
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
1.0
16:18
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
-1
0
4
1.1
20:01
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
-3
0
2
0.9
21:42
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
-2
0
2
0.7
16:07
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
-2
0
2
0.7
18:31
#34 M. Weber (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.8
20:19
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.3
19:12
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
15:23
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
7:17
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
7:22
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
18:12
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
5:27
#56 S. Bernier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.5
15:10
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
15:13
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-3
2
0
0.0
20:20
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:03
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
25:17
Total
3
5
8
6
32
8.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller305.833-1.258:45L

Team Stats

OTTBUF
31Shots on Goal32
2Power Play Chances4
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
10Penalty Minutes6
22Hits13
16Blocked Shots12
6Giveaways12
0Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
11:54GOAL (OTT): Christoph Schubert (8), assists: Chris Neil, Anton Volchenkov
2ND
13:10GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (30), assists: Thomas Vanek
3RD
02:38GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (31), assists: Mike Weber, Maxim Afinogenov
03:03GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (27), assists: Jochen Hecht, Henrik Tallinder
12:20GOAL (OTT): Dean McAmmond (8), assists: Antoine Vermette, Anton Volchenkov
14:02GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (39), assists: Jason Spezza, Dany Heatley
18:04GOAL (OTT): Anton Volchenkov (1), assists: Daniel Alfredsson
18:20GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (40), unassisted
19:59GOAL (OTT): Antoine Vermette (20), assists: Cory Stillman
vs TOR (Mar 21, 2008)@ OTT (Mar 27, 2008) ›