vs OTT (Mar 25, 2008)vs MTL (Mar 28, 2008) ›

March 27, 2008

Scotiabank Place | Ottawa

BUF 43 OTT

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF201014
OTT111003
Shots on goal BUF 40, OTT 28W R. MillerL M. Gerber
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-3 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .893
OTT M. Gerber .925
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
OTT 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
P. Gaustad goal (P3 18:34), Sabres win chance rises from 2% to 49%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
2 (2A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
21:45
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
28:04
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.893 (25/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:24
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 18:34P. Gaustad (10) 2% to 49%+47
  2. P3 03:58M. Fisher (23) 46% to 16%-30
  3. P2 04:17M. Fisher (22) 70% to 47%-23
  4. P1 12:45J. Hecht (22) 47% to 67%+20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
2
2
0
2
2
1.3
21:06
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
4
0.9
17:03
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.7
11:46
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
4
0
0.8
6:27
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
0
0
6
1.3
18:49
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
1.1
20:42
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
5
1.1
21:45
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
5
1.3
19:10
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.4
17:01
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
17:15
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:46
#56 S. Bernier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
11:13
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.3
14:23
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
28:04
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
23:36
#34 M. Weber (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.3
19:43
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
3
0.2
12:27
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
24:58
Total
3
6
9
8
40
10.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller283.8930.364:46W

Team Stats

BUFOTT
40Shots on Goal28
4Power Play Chances3
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
12Penalty Minutes14
24Hits24
13Blocked Shots18
9Giveaways16
8Takeaways12

Full Game Log

1ST
07:35GOAL (OTT): Jason Spezza (33), unassisted
08:30GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (10), assists: Adam Mair, Derek Roy
12:45GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (22), assists: Jason Pominville, Derek Roy
2ND
04:17GOAL (OTT): Mike Fisher (22), assists: Antoine Vermette, Andrej Meszaros
3RD
03:58GOAL (OTT): Mike Fisher (23), assists: Antoine Vermette, Andrej Meszaros
18:34GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (10), assists: Drew Stafford, Ales Kotalik
SO
00:00GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville, assists: Martin Gerber(SO)
00:00GOAL (OTT): Jason Spezza, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy, assists: Martin Gerber(SO)
vs OTT (Mar 25, 2008)vs MTL (Mar 28, 2008) ›