vs BOS (Mar 30, 2008)@ MTL (Apr 3, 2008) ›

April 1, 2008

Air Canada Centre | Toronto

BUF 43 TOR

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF012014
TOR201003
Shots on goal BUF 41, TOR 22W R. MillerL A. Raycroft
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-3 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .864
TOR A. Raycroft .927
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
TOR 1 of 1
TURNING POINT
A. Steen goal (P3 12:03), Sabres win chance drops from 51% to 12%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
1 (1G)
POINTS
T. Vanek
6
SHOTS
J. Pominville
23:35
TOI (F)
A. Sekera
25:43
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.864 (19/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 13 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 3:54
+19+100-10-19shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 12:03A. Steen (15) 51% to 12%-39
  2. P3 14:39T. Vanek (33) 13% to 51%+38
  3. P3 09:18S. Bernier (16) 15% to 51%+36
  4. P1 00:31D. Tucker (18) 52% to 34%-18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.3
22:34
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
11:50
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
6
1.2
20:49
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
17:42
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.9
23:35
#56 S. Bernier (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
6
1.3
16:03
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
17:14
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.8
25:43
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
18:59
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
9:07
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
12:34
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
6:13
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.6
19:14
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
13:07
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.4
23:21
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
23:00
#34 M. Weber (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
23:50
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
13:33
Total
3
5
8
2
41
9.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller223.864-0.365:00W

Team Stats

BUFTOR
41Shots on Goal22
3Power Play Chances1
33%PP%100%
0%PK%67%
1PPG1
2Penalty Minutes6
22Hits22
14Blocked Shots15
14Giveaways16
6Takeaways11

Full Game Log

1ST
00:31GOAL (TOR): Darcy Tucker (18), assists: Pavel Kubina, Mark Bell
19:03GOAL (TOR): Tomas Kaberle (8), assists: Jason Blake, Darcy Tucker
2ND
04:22GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (32), assists: Maxim Afinogenov
3RD
09:18GOAL (BUF): Steve Bernier (16), assists: Adam Mair, Paul Gaustad
12:03GOAL (TOR): Alexander Steen (15), assists: Alexei Ponikarovsky, Anton Stralman
14:39GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (33), assists: Andrej Sekera, Jason Pominville
SO
00:00GOAL (TOR): Tomas Kaberle, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik, assists: Andrew Raycroft(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov, assists: Andrew Raycroft(SO)
vs BOS (Mar 30, 2008)@ MTL (Apr 3, 2008) ›