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April 3, 2008

Centre Bell | Montreal

BUF 13 MTL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0011
MTL2103
Shots on goal BUF 28, MTL 25W C. PriceL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 1-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .880
MTL C. Price .964
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
MTL 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
C. Higgins goal (P1 11:28), Sabres win chance drops from 43% to 25%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Roy
24:38
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
22:40
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.880 (22/25)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 11 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 44%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 11:28C. Higgins (25) 43% to 25%-18
  2. P1 12:08B. Smolinski (7) 25% to 12%-13
  3. P2 14:28B. Smolinski (8) 7% to 2%-5
  4. P1 10:03Hooking on Ales Kotalik, 2 min 44% to 41%-3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
-2
0
5
1.7
24:38
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
-1
2
6
1.1
15:38
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
19:28
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
11:37
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
8:36
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
8:37
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
16:37
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
18:28
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
22:26
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
6:32
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
17:39
#56 S. Bernier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
11:23
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
16:18
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
12:08
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
22:40
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
21:13
#34 M. Weber (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
15:32
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
21:41
Total
1
2
3
14
28
4.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller253.8800.058:06L

Team Stats

BUFMTL
28Shots on Goal25
5Power Play Chances4
20%PP%25%
75%PK%80%
1PPG1
14Penalty Minutes14
19Hits29
13Blocked Shots18
10Giveaways14
9Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
11:28GOAL (MTL): Chris Higgins (25), assists: Mark Streit, Roman Hamrlik
12:08GOAL (MTL): Bryan Smolinski (7), assists: Steve Begin, Ryan O'Byrne
2ND
14:28GOAL (MTL): Bryan Smolinski (8), unassisted
3RD
11:30GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (23), assists: Derek Roy, Jaroslav Spacek
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