@ NYI (Oct 13, 2008)vs VAN (Oct 17, 2008) ›

October 15, 2008

Madison Square Garden | New York

BUF 31 NYR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0213
NYR1001
Shots on goal BUF 19, NYR 20W R. MillerL H. Lundqvist
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .950
NYR H. Lundqvist .842
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 5
NYR 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P2 12:30), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 77%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
2 (2G)
POINTS
T. Vanek
7
SHOTS
D. Roy
21:47
TOI (F)
A. Sekera
22:17
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.950 (19/20)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 14 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 12:30T. Vanek (4) 53% to 77%+24
  2. P2 05:03A. Kotalik (2) 26% to 47%+21
  3. P3 01:10T. Vanek (5) 70% to 89%+19
  4. P1 06:32S. Gomez (2) 46% to 28%-18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
2
0
2
0
0
7
2.0
18:10
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
1.1
21:47
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
16:49
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
1.0
17:34
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.8
19:12
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
1
1
0
4
1
0.5
18:35
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
17:45
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
20:59
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
11:18
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
13:58
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.3
6:45
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
7:32
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:30
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
2:56
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
21:31
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
16:29
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
22:17
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
-1
4
0
-0.1
21:01
Total
3
6
9
15
19
8.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller201.9501.259:52W

Team Stats

BUFNYR
19Shots on Goal20
5Power Play Chances5
40%PP%0%
100%PK%60%
2PPG0
15Penalty Minutes26
11Hits16
18Blocked Shots9
1Giveaways6
10Takeaways9

Full Game Log

1ST
06:32GOAL (NYR): Scott Gomez (2), assists: Michal Rozsival, Ryan Callahan
2ND
05:03GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (2), assists: Clarke MacArthur, Teppo Numminen
12:30GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (4), assists: Derek Roy, Jason Pominville
3RD
01:10GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (5), assists: Daniel Paille, Toni Lydman
@ NYI (Oct 13, 2008)vs VAN (Oct 17, 2008) ›