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October 17, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

VAN 25 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs VAN all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
VAN0112
BUF3115
Shots on goal VAN 25, BUF 31W R. MillerL C. Sanford
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .920
VAN C. Sanford .839
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 5
VAN 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
J. Spacek goal (P1 1:16), Sabres win chance rises from 58% to 72%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
7
SHOTS
J. Pominville
20:52
TOI (F)
A. Sekera
22:05
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.920 (23/25)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFVAN

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 1 minute, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFVAN

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFVAN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 01:16J. Spacek (1) 58% to 72%+14
  2. P1 08:30C. MacArthur (2) 76% to 88%+12
  3. P1 13:10A. Kotalik (3) 87% to 95%+8
  4. P1 02:52Fighting on Andrew Peters, 5 min 73% to 65%-8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
2
3
+2
0
7
2.6
16:36
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
2
0
2
0
0
3
1.7
14:08
#6 J. Spacek (D)
1
1
2
+2
0
3
1.8
21:51
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.9
16:34
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.9
14:33
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.8
21:04
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
1.1
22:05
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.8
18:57
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
-0.1
20:09
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:39
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
14:58
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.1
14:03
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
20:52
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.5
8:51
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:14
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
6:36
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.1
18:40
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
16:03
Total
5
7
12
13
31
11.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller252.9200.859:58W

Team Stats

VANBUF
25Shots on Goal31
3Power Play Chances5
0%PP%40%
60%PK%100%
0PPG2
27Penalty Minutes13
17Hits25
16Blocked Shots14
4Giveaways11
5Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
01:16GOAL (BUF): Jaroslav Spacek (1), assists: Andrej Sekera, Thomas Vanek
08:30GOAL (BUF): Clarke MacArthur (2), assists: Craig Rivet, Teppo Numminen
13:10GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (3), assists: Maxim Afinogenov
2ND
01:57GOAL (VAN): Ryan Kesler (3), assists: Alexandre Burrows, Willie Mitchell
10:33GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (6), assists: Jaroslav Spacek
3RD
05:06GOAL (VAN): Steve Bernier (2), assists: Henrik Sedin, Mason Raymond
14:11GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (4), assists: Thomas Vanek
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