vs OTT (Oct 27, 2008)vs WSH (Nov 1, 2008) ›

October 30, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TBL 52 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL3205
BUF1102
Shots on goal TBL 40, BUF 31W O. KolzigL R. Miller
Summary

TBL had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .875
TBL O. Kolzig .935
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
TBL 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
S. Stamkos goal (P1 9:51), Sabres win chance drops from 57% to 38%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Spacek
2 (2A)
POINTS
D. Roy
22:14
TOI (F)
A. Sekera
22:53
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.875 (35/40)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTBL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 10 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFTBL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 09:51S. Stamkos (1) 57% to 38%-19
  2. P1 19:34R. Malone (2) 35% to 18%-17
  3. P1 11:12C. MacArthur (5) 21% to 38%+17
  4. P1 10:30J. Jokinen (2) 38% to 21%-17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
2
2
-1
0
1
1.2
21:56
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
13:47
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
-2
0
2
1.0
21:08
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
16:37
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
1.1
22:53
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
22:14
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
8
0.5
18:27
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
5
0.5
13:11
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
11:54
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
11:07
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
20:38
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.2
5:57
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
18:02
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
3:15
#4 M. Weber (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
15:02
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
18:13
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
18:34
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
0.1
19:40
Total
2
4
6
8
31
6.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller405.875-0.260:00L

Team Stats

TBLBUF
40Shots on Goal31
3Power Play Chances5
33%PP%20%
80%PK%67%
1PPG1
12Penalty Minutes8
12Hits19
6Blocked Shots9
7Giveaways18
8Takeaways10

Full Game Log

1ST
09:51GOAL (TBL): Steven Stamkos (1), assists: Vincent Lecavalier, Martin St. Louis
10:30GOAL (TBL): Jussi Jokinen (2), assists: Evgeny Artyukhin, Mark Recchi
11:12GOAL (BUF): Clarke MacArthur (5), assists: Daniel Paille, Jaroslav Spacek
19:34GOAL (TBL): Ryan Malone (2), assists: Steven Stamkos
2ND
13:10GOAL (TBL): Paul Ranger (1), assists: Chris Gratton, Vincent Lecavalier
15:00GOAL (TBL): Steven Stamkos (2), assists: Adam Hall
19:40GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (9), assists: Andrej Sekera, Jaroslav Spacek
vs OTT (Oct 27, 2008)vs WSH (Nov 1, 2008) ›