@ COL (Oct 25, 2008)vs TBL (Oct 30, 2008) ›

October 27, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

OTT 52 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT1315
BUF0022
Shots on goal OTT 28, BUF 27W A. AuldL P. Lalime
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-5.

IN NET
Buffalo P. Lalime .821
OTT A. Auld .926
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 10
OTT 2 of 6
TURNING POINT
C. Schubert goal (P1 18:06), Sabres win chance drops from 57% to 36%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
2 (2A)
POINTS
D. Roy
23:18
TOI (F)
A. Sekera
26:26
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.821 (23/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 18 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 18:06C. Schubert (1) 57% to 36%-21
  2. P2 00:19D. Heatley (5) 34% to 18%-16
  3. P2 04:48J. Spezza (4) 16% to 6%-10
  4. P1 16:31Elbowing on Adam Mair, 2 min 58% to 54%-4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
2
2
0
2
1
1.3
16:45
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
1
0
1
-1
0
3
1.0
16:45
#27 T. Numminen (D)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
19:14
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
1
1
0
2
0
0.6
16:04
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
1
1
-2
0
2
1.1
26:26
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.5
23:18
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
15:31
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
15:34
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
9:49
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
12
0
-0.2
10:40
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.5
18:57
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
19:36
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.0
10:50
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
8:55
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
15
0
0.0
4:07
#4 M. Weber (D)
0
0
0
-1
7
0
0.0
15:08
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
-0.1
17:29
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.4
23:52
Total
2
4
6
44
27
6.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime285.821-1.460:00L

Team Stats

OTTBUF
28Shots on Goal27
6Power Play Chances10
33%PP%20%
80%PK%67%
2PPG2
52Penalty Minutes44
10Hits11
25Blocked Shots14
5Giveaways11
1Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
18:06GOAL (OTT): Christoph Schubert (1), unassisted
2ND
00:19GOAL (OTT): Dany Heatley (5), assists: Jason Spezza, Daniel Alfredsson
04:48GOAL (OTT): Jason Spezza (4), assists: Antoine Vermette
18:18GOAL (OTT): Jason Spezza (5), assists: Dany Heatley, Daniel Alfredsson
3RD
05:50GOAL (OTT): Shean Donovan (3), assists: Jesse Winchester, Dean McAmmond
14:37GOAL (BUF): Clarke MacArthur (4), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Andrej Sekera
19:28GOAL (BUF): Teppo Numminen (1), assists: Nathan Paetsch, Maxim Afinogenov
@ COL (Oct 25, 2008)vs TBL (Oct 30, 2008) ›