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December 22, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PIT 43 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs PIT all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PIT02114
BUF12003
Shots on goal PIT 22, BUF 35W M. FleuryL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 3-4 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .818
PIT M. Fleury .914
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 6
PIT 1 of 1
TURNING POINT
S. Crosby goal (OT 0:43), Sabres win chance drops from 50% to 0%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
8
SHOTS
D. Roy
25:25
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
23:01
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.818 (18/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPIT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 14 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 0:43
+16+80-8-16shot attemptsBUFPIT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

OT 0:43
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPIT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 00:43S. Crosby (14) 50% to 0%-50
  2. P3 11:17A. Goligoski (6) 84% to 50%-34
  3. P2 12:23A. Goligoski (5) 76% to 50%-26
  4. P2 15:58C. MacArthur (9) 52% to 77%+25

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
1
2
+2
0
3
1.7
17:21
#20 D. Paille (LW)
1
1
2
+2
2
1
1.4
15:18
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
0
1.1
16:30
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
2
2
+2
0
0
1.4
18:49
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.5
19:44
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
5
0.7
25:25
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
23:09
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-3
0
8
0.6
17:28
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
18:00
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
12:46
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:33
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
9:33
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
3:05
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.0
20:33
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
23:01
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.2
21:19
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
11:08
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
20:28
Total
3
6
9
7
35
9.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller224.818-1.260:43O

Team Stats

PITBUF
22Shots on Goal35
1Power Play Chances6
100%PP%17%
83%PK%0%
1PPG1
17Penalty Minutes7
16Hits10
14Blocked Shots11
12Giveaways16
2Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
01:00GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (4), assists: Teppo Numminen, Adam Mair
2ND
05:23GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (8), assists: Daniel Paille, Adam Mair
06:18GOAL (PIT): Pascal Dupuis (7), assists: Miroslav Satan, Brooks Orpik
12:23GOAL (PIT): Alex Goligoski (5), assists: Evgeni Malkin, Ruslan Fedotenko
15:58GOAL (BUF): Clarke MacArthur (9), assists: Ales Kotalik, Teppo Numminen
3RD
11:17GOAL (PIT): Alex Goligoski (6), assists: Evgeni Malkin, Jordan Staal
OT
00:43GOAL (PIT): Sidney Crosby (14), assists: Evgeni Malkin, Alex Goligoski
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