vs PIT (Dec 22, 2008)vs NYI (Dec 27, 2008) ›

December 26, 2008

Verizon Center | Washington

BUF 23 WSH

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0022
WSH0123
Shots on goal BUF 24, WSH 34W J. TheodoreL P. Lalime
Summary

WSH had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo P. Lalime .912
WSH J. Theodore .917
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 2
WSH 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
V. Kozlov goal (P2 17:46), Sabres win chance drops from 46% to 20%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Roy
4
SHOTS
D. Roy
21:14
TOI (F)
H. Tallinder
23:25
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.912 (31/34)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 44%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 17:46V. Kozlov (9) 46% to 20%-26
  2. P3 01:58B. Gordon (3) 18% to 5%-13
  3. P3 06:13T. Vanek (25) 4% to 16%+12
  4. P3 08:27A. Ovechkin (23) 14% to 3%-11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 8:27
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
14:55
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
-2
0
4
1.0
16:51
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.0
15:56
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
9:06
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
-1
2
0
0.9
22:13
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
-2
2
0
0.6
22:10
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
21:14
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
15:53
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.3
15:05
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
20:47
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
7:11
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
16:13
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
1
0.0
18:52
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
1:38
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
23:25
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
16:35
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
12:09
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
0.0
22:49
Total
2
4
6
8
24
6.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime343.9120.958:58L

Team Stats

BUFWSH
24Shots on Goal34
2Power Play Chances4
50%PP%0%
100%PK%50%
1PPG0
8Penalty Minutes6
17Hits28
17Blocked Shots17
10Giveaways20
4Takeaways21

Full Game Log

2ND
17:46GOAL (WSH): Viktor Kozlov (9), assists: Nicklas Backstrom, Bryan Helmer
3RD
01:58GOAL (WSH): Boyd Gordon (3), assists: Milan Jurcina
06:13GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (25), assists: Drew Stafford, Jaroslav Spacek
08:27GOAL (WSH): Alex Ovechkin (23), assists: Bryan Helmer
18:11GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (2), assists: Toni Lydman, Ales Kotalik
vs PIT (Dec 22, 2008)vs NYI (Dec 27, 2008) ›