@ NYI (Feb 28, 2009)vs PHX (Mar 6, 2009) ›

March 4, 2009

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

MTL 15 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL0011
BUF1225
Shots on goal MTL 39, BUF 27W P. LalimeL C. Price
Summary

MTL had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-1.

IN NET
Buffalo P. Lalime .974
MTL C. Price .815
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 3
MTL 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
D. Roy goal (P1 17:53), Sabres win chance rises from 56% to 74%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Roy
3
SHOTS
D. Roy
20:55
TOI (F)
C. Rivet
21:50
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.974 (38/39)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 18 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+15+80-8-15shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 17:53D. Roy (23) 56% to 74%+18
  2. P2 02:59D. Roy (24) 75% to 89%+14
  3. P2 09:07J. Spacek (7) 91% to 97%+6
  4. P1 17:35Delaying game puck over glass on Mathieu Schneider, 2 min 53% to 57%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
2
0
2
+1
2
3
1.7
20:55
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
2
0
2
+1
2
3
1.6
16:42
#6 J. Spacek (D)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.8
17:19
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
-1
2
1
0.5
16:19
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
1.0
17:13
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.8
14:49
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
21:50
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
13:34
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
7:50
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.1
13:42
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:23
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
0.2
8:06
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
7:44
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
16:44
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
21:41
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
21:40
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
16:28
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
20:01
Total
5
5
10
12
27
9.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime391.9743.160:00W

Team Stats

MTLBUF
39Shots on Goal27
5Power Play Chances3
0%PP%67%
33%PK%100%
0PPG2
8Penalty Minutes12
16Hits19
10Blocked Shots14
8Giveaways11
3Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
17:53GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (23), assists: Jaroslav Spacek, Tim Connolly
2ND
02:59GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (24), assists: Daniel Paille
09:07GOAL (BUF): Jaroslav Spacek (7), unassisted
3RD
06:10GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (8), assists: Craig Rivet, Maxim Afinogenov
11:03GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (9), unassisted
18:54GOAL (MTL): Tomas Plekanec (18), assists: Roman Hamrlik
@ NYI (Feb 28, 2009)vs PHX (Mar 6, 2009) ›