vs MTL (Mar 4, 2009)@ OTT (Mar 7, 2009) ›

March 6, 2009

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PHX 15 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHX all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PHX0011
BUF2125
Shots on goal PHX 30, BUF 31W P. LalimeL I. Bryzgalov
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 5-1.

IN NET
Buffalo P. Lalime .967
PHX I. Bryzgalov .839
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 6
PHX 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
T. Connolly goal (P1 7:07), Sabres win chance rises from 60% to 77%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
4 (2G-2A)
POINTS
T. Connolly
19:26
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
22:44
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.967 (29/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHX

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 7 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFPHX

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 60%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHX
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 07:07T. Connolly (12) 60% to 77%+17
  2. P1 08:25A. Sekera (3) 77% to 89%+12
  3. P2 14:17T. Connolly (13) 95% to 98%+3
  4. P3 06:52M. Lombardi (10) 100% to 97%-3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
2
2
4
+2
2
6
3.2
19:26
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
2
2
+2
2
0
1.5
21:12
#44 A. Sekera (D)
1
1
2
+2
2
1
1.3
18:42
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
16:42
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
0
1
+2
0
2
0.9
12:46
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
0
2
0
0.6
15:59
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
15:57
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.7
14:01
#17 D. Moore (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
14:31
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:52
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
8:31
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.3
15:27
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.4
9:15
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.5
16:08
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
22:44
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
17:31
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:53
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
10
1
0.0
16:54
Total
5
8
13
24
31
11.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime301.9672.260:00W

Team Stats

PHXBUF
30Shots on Goal31
6Power Play Chances6
17%PP%50%
50%PK%83%
1PPG3
14Penalty Minutes24
17Hits19
6Blocked Shots13
8Giveaways14
1Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
07:07GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (12), assists: Jaroslav Spacek, Andrej Sekera
08:25GOAL (BUF): Andrej Sekera (3), assists: Tim Connolly
2ND
14:17GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (13), assists: Derek Roy
3RD
06:52GOAL (PHX): Matthew Lombardi (10), assists: Petr Prucha
17:15GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (14), assists: Jaroslav Spacek, Tim Connolly
17:52GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (18), assists: Paul Gaustad, Maxim Afinogenov
vs MTL (Mar 4, 2009)@ OTT (Mar 7, 2009) ›