vs TOR (Mar 27, 2009)@ ATL (Apr 1, 2009) ›

March 28, 2009

Centre Bell | Montreal

BUF 43 MTL

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF111014
MTL030003
Shots on goal BUF 37, MTL 35W R. MillerL C. Price
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 4-3 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .914
MTL C. Price .919
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
MTL 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
C. MacArthur goal (P3 3:58), Sabres win chance rises from 18% to 49%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Connolly
22:07
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
26:17
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.914 (32/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 0:20
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 03:58C. MacArthur (15) 18% to 49%+31
  2. P2 12:33A. Kovalev (21) 74% to 49%-25
  3. P2 15:14A. Kovalev (22) 44% to 20%-24
  4. P1 17:35A. Mair (8) 48% to 69%+21

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
1
2
0
0
4
1.7
22:07
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
13:13
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
6
1.3
20:23
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.0
16:09
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
4
5
0.8
20:31
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.6
26:17
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.4
15:47
#17 D. Moore (C)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.2
15:53
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
6:40
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
17:11
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
14:47
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:13
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.2
2:52
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
25:08
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
22:12
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:04
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.1
12:42
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
+1
5
1
0.2
25:09
Total
3
4
7
17
37
8.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller353.9141.064:59W

Team Stats

BUFMTL
37Shots on Goal35
3Power Play Chances4
33%PP%25%
75%PK%67%
1PPG1
17Penalty Minutes15
20Hits35
22Blocked Shots20
26Giveaways22
9Takeaways10

Full Game Log

1ST
17:35GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (8), assists: Jochen Hecht, Toni Lydman
2ND
02:36GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (17), unassisted
07:58GOAL (MTL): Chris Higgins (10), assists: Mathieu Dandenault, Josh Gorges
12:33GOAL (MTL): Alex Kovalev (21), assists: Saku Koivu, Alex Tanguay
15:14GOAL (MTL): Alex Kovalev (22), assists: Mathieu Schneider, Alex Tanguay
3RD
03:58GOAL (BUF): Clarke MacArthur (15), assists: Jason Pominville, Tim Connolly
SO
00:00GOAL (BUF): Toni Lydman, assists: Carey Price(SO)
vs TOR (Mar 27, 2009)@ ATL (Apr 1, 2009) ›