@ MTL (Mar 28, 2009)@ WSH (Apr 3, 2009) ›

April 1, 2009

Philips Arena | Atlanta

BUF 23 ATL

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF11002
ATL11013
Shots on goal BUF 32, ATL 30W J. HedbergL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-3 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .900
ATL J. Hedberg .938
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 6
ATL 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
I. Kovalchuk goal (OT 4:30), Sabres win chance drops from 50% to 0%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
2 (2G)
POINTS
T. Vanek
7
SHOTS
D. Roy
23:55
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
24:28
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.900 (27/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:30
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

OT 4:30
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 04:30I. Kovalchuk (41) 50% to 0%-50
  2. P2 10:26V. Kozlov (25) 51% to 27%-24
  3. P2 13:56T. Vanek (37) 29% to 53%+24
  4. P1 08:36Z. Bogosian (7) 70% to 52%-18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
2
2
-1
0
3
1.7
23:55
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
2
0
2
-2
0
7
2.1
18:40
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
6
1.2
23:36
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
1
1
-2
2
1
0.5
23:26
#17 D. Moore (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.5
14:27
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
21:58
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
7:15
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
14:48
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
7:32
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.3
14:16
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
11:01
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:24
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
15:53
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
24:28
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
21:57
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
15:03
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.3
16:20
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
22:01
Total
2
4
6
6
32
7.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller303.9000.564:30O

Team Stats

BUFATL
32Shots on Goal30
6Power Play Chances3
33%PP%0%
100%PK%67%
2PPG0
6Penalty Minutes12
12Hits19
10Blocked Shots15
4Giveaways10
12Takeaways17

Full Game Log

1ST
07:01GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (36), assists: Jason Pominville, Derek Roy
08:36GOAL (ATL): Zach Bogosian (7), assists: Ilya Kovalchuk, Bryan Little
2ND
10:26GOAL (ATL): Vyacheslav Kozlov (25), assists: Ron Hainsey, Colby Armstrong
13:56GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (37), assists: Derek Roy, Jaroslav Spacek
OT
04:30GOAL (ATL): Ilya Kovalchuk (41), unassisted
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