@ ATL (Apr 1, 2009)vs NJD (Apr 4, 2009) ›

April 3, 2009

Verizon Center | Washington

BUF 54 WSH

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF21115
WSH13004
Shots on goal BUF 30, WSH 37W R. MillerL S. Varlamov
Summary

WSH had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-4 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .892
WSH S. Varlamov .833
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
WSH 3 of 7
TURNING POINT
J. Pominville goal (OT 1:51), Sabres win chance rises from 49% to 100%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
3 (3A)
POINTS
D. Roy
4
SHOTS
T. Connolly
22:24
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
27:04
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.892 (33/37)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 18 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 1:51
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 44%.

OT 1:51
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 01:51J. Pominville (17) 49% to 100%+51
  2. P3 10:21M. Afinogenov (6) 12% to 47%+35
  3. P2 18:40S. Fedorov (10) 46% to 19%-27
  4. P2 18:17D. Roy (27) 21% to 46%+25

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P1 5:35
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2008–09 regular season (82 games).

Wins (41)Losses (41, 9 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 78% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 81% when yes, 39% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 66% when yes, 32% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 60% when yes, 37% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
3
3
+3
0
0
2.1
22:24
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
1
2
+2
0
2
1.5
19:09
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
2
2
+1
2
1
1.2
22:46
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
2
2
+2
2
4
1.5
27:04
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
0
4
4
0.8
16:59
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
14:32
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
1
0
1
+1
4
4
0.9
9:55
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+2
0
4
1.2
11:26
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
2
0.8
20:15
#17 D. Moore (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
9:57
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:18
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
19:26
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
17:48
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
10:04
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:35
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.1
17:37
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.2
13:17
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:18
Total
5
9
14
18
30
11.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller374.8920.361:18W

Team Stats

BUFWSH
30Shots on Goal37
5Power Play Chances7
20%PP%43%
57%PK%80%
1PPG3
18Penalty Minutes14
12Hits24
11Blocked Shots10
9Giveaways19
5Takeaways9

Full Game Log

1ST
05:35GOAL (WSH): Alex Ovechkin (55), assists: Brooks Laich, Viktor Kozlov
09:14GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (20), assists: Jaroslav Spacek, Craig Rivet
10:02GOAL (BUF): Clarke MacArthur (16), assists: Toni Lydman, Jason Pominville
2ND
03:41GOAL (WSH): Alexander Semin (30), assists: Brooks Laich, Alex Ovechkin
03:50GOAL (WSH): Sergei Fedorov (9), assists: Tomas Fleischmann
18:17GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (27), assists: Tim Connolly, Jaroslav Spacek
18:40GOAL (WSH): Sergei Fedorov (10), assists: Alex Ovechkin, Viktor Kozlov
3RD
10:21GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (6), assists: Tim Connolly, Toni Lydman
OT
01:51GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (17), assists: Tim Connolly
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