vs BOS (Nov 20, 2009)@ WSH (Nov 25, 2009) ›

November 21, 2009

Scotiabank Place | Ottawa

BUF 35 OTT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1023
OTT0235
Shots on goal BUF 41, OTT 26W B. ElliottL P. Lalime
Summary

Buffalo had more shot attempts in all situations and lost 3-5.

IN NET
Buffalo P. Lalime .808
OTT B. Elliott .875
OTT P. Leclaire .960
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 7
OTT 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
D. Alfredsson goal (P2 8:14), Sabres win chance drops from 48% to 24%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
2 (2A)
POINTS
P. Kaleta
5
SHOTS
J. Pominville
22:41
TOI (F)
T. Myers
26:03
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.808 (21/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-OTT.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won8-94-169-1321-38
Hits15-45-99-1129-24
Takeaways5-53-73-311-15
Giveaways3-30-11-14-5
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.903OTT 1.097. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+30+150-15-30shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 08:14D. Alfredsson (1) 48% to 24%-24
  2. P1 19:08T. Vanek (1), power play 51% to 69%+18
  3. P2 00:50F. Kuba (1), power play 66% to 48%-18
  4. P3 02:39C. Kelly (1) 19% to 5%-14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:49
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Three Stars

1F. KubaOTT | D1G 3A 4P
2D. AlfredssonOTT | RW2G 1A 3P
3M. FisherOTT | C0G 1A 1P

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
2
2
0
2
4
1.5
19:07
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
2
2
+1
2
2
1.3
19:41
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
-2
0
1
0.8
19:14
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
-3
0
4
1.1
18:11
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
22:41
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
5
1.5
13:11
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
1.0
21:36
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
10:03
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
0.3
7:21
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
19:05
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
7:47
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.3
15:09
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.2
19:17
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.1
15:09
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
2
0.2
13:12
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:22
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
17:23
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.3
26:03
Total
3
6
9
12
41
9.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime265.808-1.658:18L

Team Stats

BUFOTT
41Shots on Goal26
9.1%Shooting % (5v5)18.8%
.813Save % (5v5).909
0.903PDO (5v5)1.097
21 (36%)Faceoffs Won38 (64%)
7Power Play Chances5
14%PP%20%
80%PK%86%
1PPG1
12Penalty Minutes16
29Hits24
11Blocked Shots22
4Giveaways5
11Takeaways15

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
19:08GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (1), assists: Chris Butler, Tim Connolly(PP)
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
00:50GOAL (OTT): Filip Kuba (1), assists: Jason Spezza, Daniel Alfredsson(PP)
08:14GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (1), assists: Filip Kuba, Chris Phillips
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
02:39GOAL (OTT): Chris Kelly (1), assists: Matt Carkner
06:11GOAL (OTT): Milan Michalek (1), assists: Filip Kuba, Jason Spezza
08:00GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (2), assists: Mike Fisher, Filip Kuba
08:57GOAL (BUF): Patrick Kaleta (1), assists: Henrik Tallinder, Derek Roy
10:30GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (1), assists: Derek Roy, Henrik Tallinder
20:00Period end
vs BOS (Nov 20, 2009)@ WSH (Nov 25, 2009) ›