@ WSH (Nov 25, 2009)vs CAR (Nov 28, 2009) ›

November 27, 2009

Wachovia Center | Philadelphia

BUF 42 PHI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1124
PHI2002
Shots on goal BUF 25, PHI 33W R. MillerL R. Emery
Summary

PHI had more shot attempts in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .939
PHI R. Emery .840
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
PHI 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
T. Connolly goal (P3 5:27), Sabres win chance rises from 46% to 80%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
4 (2G-2A)
POINTS
T. Connolly
21:13
TOI (F)
H. Tallinder
24:42
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.939 (31/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-PHI.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won12-711-915-1138-27
Hits6-55-91-312-17
Takeaways2-53-23-08-7
Giveaways1-46-04-211-6
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.055PHI 0.945. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+16+80-8-16shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 43%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 05:27T. Connolly (1) 46% to 80%+34
  2. P1 19:26M. Richards (1) 66% to 44%-22
  3. P1 19:56B. Coburn (1) 44% to 23%-21
  4. P1 08:19D. Stafford (1) 43% to 63%+20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:23
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
2
2
4
+2
0
4
3.2
21:13
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
1
2
+2
2
3
1.5
14:49
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
8:54
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
1
1
+2
0
2
1.0
15:43
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.7
21:01
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.5
15:45
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
1
1
0
2
3
0.9
21:51
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.8
24:26
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
20:43
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.5
9:58
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
4:13
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.1
15:36
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:27
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
18:40
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
0
15
0
-0.1
2:06
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
17:03
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
24:42
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
+1
10
0
0.0
11:58
Total
4
8
12
35
25
10.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller332.9391.659:52W

Team Stats

BUFPHI
25Shots on Goal33
15.0%Shooting % (5v5)9.5%
.905Save % (5v5).850
1.055PDO (5v5)0.945
38 (58%)Faceoffs Won27 (42%)
3Power Play Chances5
33%PP%0%
100%PK%67%
1PPG0
35Penalty Minutes30
12Hits17
12Blocked Shots8
11Giveaways6
8Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
08:19GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (1), assists: Tim Connolly, Toni Lydman
19:26GOAL (PHI): Mike Richards (1), assists: James van Riemsdyk, Jeff Carter
19:56GOAL (PHI): Braydon Coburn (1), assists: Arron Asham, Mika Pyorala
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
06:09GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (1), assists: Tim Connolly, Chris Butler(PP)
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
05:27GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (1), assists: Clarke MacArthur, Tyler Myers
10:52GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (2), assists: Drew Stafford, Steve Montador
20:00Period end
20:00Game end
@ WSH (Nov 25, 2009)vs CAR (Nov 28, 2009) ›