vs PIT (Dec 19, 2009)@ WSH (Dec 23, 2009) ›

December 21, 2009

Air Canada Centre | Toronto

BUF 32 TOR

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF10113
TOR02002
Shots on goal BUF 30, TOR 36W R. MillerL J. Gustavsson
Summary

Shot attempts were even in all situations; Buffalo won 3-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .944
TOR J. Gustavsson .900
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 1
TOR 0 of 0
TURNING POINT
D. Roy goal (OT 3:35), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 100%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Roy
4
SHOTS
T. Connolly
19:06
TOI (F)
T. Myers
22:58
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.944 (34/36)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-TOR.
 1ST2ND3RDOTTotal
Faceoffs Won4-109-129-130-222-37
Hits7-69-135-100-221-31
Takeaways4-63-54-20-011-13
Giveaways2-44-13-41-010-9
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.016TOR 0.984. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 3:35
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

OT 3:35
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 03:35D. Roy (1) 51% to 100%+49
  2. P3 12:59J. Hecht (1) 12% to 52%+40
  3. P2 17:20I. White (1) 54% to 25%-29
  4. P2 03:41V. Stalberg (1) 76% to 54%-22

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
OT 3:35
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
0
0
4
1.6
17:49
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
4
1.8
17:55
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
2
2
+2
0
2
1.3
21:17
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
16:57
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
9:48
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
9:57
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
16:30
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
19:06
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
10:03
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
18:54
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
18:04
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
17:01
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.5
16:42
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
21:15
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
20:23
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.2
19:41
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
20:23
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
22:58
Total
3
6
9
0
30
9.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller362.9441.963:12W

Team Stats

BUFTOR
30Shots on Goal36
7.7%Shooting % (5v5)6.1%
.939Save % (5v5).923
1.016PDO (5v5)0.984
22 (37%)Faceoffs Won37 (63%)
1Power Play Chances0
0%PP%
PK%100%
0PPG0
0Penalty Minutes2
21Hits31
18Blocked Shots15
10Giveaways9
11Takeaways13

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
06:11GOAL (BUF): Nathan Paetsch (1), assists: Matt Ellis, Steve Montador
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
03:41GOAL (TOR): Viktor Stalberg (1), assists: Tomas Kaberle
17:20GOAL (TOR): Ian White (1), assists: Lee Stempniak, Nikolay Kulemin
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
12:59GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (1), assists: Drew Stafford, Derek Roy
20:00Period end
OT
00:00Period start
03:35GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (1), assists: Jochen Hecht, Steve Montador
03:35Period end
vs PIT (Dec 19, 2009)@ WSH (Dec 23, 2009) ›