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December 23, 2009

Verizon Center | Washington

BUF 25 WSH

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0202
WSH2125
Shots on goal BUF 34, WSH 38W M. NeuvirthL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shot attempts in all situations and lost 2-5.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .868
WSH M. Neuvirth .941
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
WSH 2 of 2
TURNING POINT
N. Backstrom goal (P1 1:18), Sabres win chance drops from 44% to 27%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
1 (1G)
POINTS
P. Gaustad
20:24
TOI (F)
T. Myers
20:59
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.868 (33/38)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-WSH.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won16-68-169-533-27
Hits7-53-106-616-21
Takeaways1-32-53-76-15
Giveaways3-21-102-26-14
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.941WSH 1.059. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 1 minute, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 44%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 01:18N. Backstrom (1) 44% to 27%-17
  2. P2 05:04P. Gaustad (1) 10% to 25%+15
  3. P2 10:48B. Morrison (1) 22% to 8%-14
  4. P2 12:52T. Connolly (1) 7% to 22%+15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:37
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
1.0
17:28
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
0
1
+2
0
6
1.3
19:13
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.8
17:52
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
+2
2
3
1.1
20:24
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.8
15:35
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
1.1
20:46
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
13:07
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-2
2
3
0.1
11:50
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
13:02
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
9:21
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
14:00
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.3
17:01
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:46
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
18:26
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
9:13
#44 A. Sekera (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
19:01
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
19:40
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
20:59
Total
2
4
6
6
34
7.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller385.868-0.460:00L

Team Stats

BUFWSH
34Shots on Goal38
3.4%Shooting % (5v5)9.4%
.906Save % (5v5).966
0.941PDO (5v5)1.059
33 (55%)Faceoffs Won27 (45%)
3Power Play Chances2
0%PP%100%
0%PK%100%
0PPG2
6Penalty Minutes6
16Hits21
15Blocked Shots24
6Giveaways14
6Takeaways15

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
01:18GOAL (WSH): Nicklas Backstrom (1), assists: Alex Ovechkin, Alexander Semin
06:47GOAL (WSH): Mike Green (1), assists: Eric Fehr, Chris Clark
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
05:04GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (1), assists: Derek Roy, Jason Pominville
10:48GOAL (WSH): Brendan Morrison (1), assists: Tomas Fleischmann, Mike Knuble
12:52GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (1), assists: Steve Montador, Mike Grier
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
10:55GOAL (WSH): Nicklas Backstrom (2), assists: Alexander Semin, Alex Ovechkin(PP)
12:10GOAL (WSH): Alex Ovechkin (1), assists: Brooks Laich, Mike Green(PP)
20:00Period end
20:00Game end
@ TOR (Dec 21, 2009)vs OTT (Dec 26, 2009) ›