vs TBL (Jan 6, 2010)vs COL (Jan 9, 2010) ›

January 8, 2010

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TOR 23 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR0022
BUF2103
Shots on goal TOR 50, BUF 31W R. MillerL V. Toskala
Summary

TOR had more shot attempts in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .960
TOR V. Toskala .903
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 3
TOR 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
T. Kennedy, power play goal (P1 17:08), Sabres win chance rises from 68% to 82%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Myers
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
A. Mair
5
SHOTS
P. Gaustad
18:04
TOI (F)
T. Myers
24:48
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.960 (48/50)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-TOR.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won8-912-96-1026-28
Hits6-89-97-922-26
Takeaways6-23-03-212-4
Giveaways7-43-511-221-11
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.951TOR 1.049. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+21+110-11-21shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 64%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 17:08T. Kennedy (1), power play 68% to 82%+14
  2. P1 18:39T. Myers (1), power play 81% to 92%+11
  3. P2 07:30T. Myers (2), power play 94% to 98%+4
  4. P1 16:36High sticking on Rickard Wallin, 2 min 62% to 66%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:31
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#57 T. Myers (D)
2
1
3
0
0
4
2.6
24:48
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
2
2
0
2
4
1.8
13:55
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
2
2
-1
0
0
1.2
21:20
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
12:31
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.7
12:30
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
17:18
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
16:10
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.4
10:54
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:02
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
18:04
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
15:56
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
10:36
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
10:33
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
17:11
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
14:01
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
13:28
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
24:37
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.1
21:09
Total
3
6
9
6
31
8.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller502.9603.359:57W

Team Stats

TORBUF
50Shots on Goal31
4.9%Shooting % (5v5)0.0%
1.000Save % (5v5).951
1.049PDO (5v5)0.951
28 (52%)Faceoffs Won26 (48%)
4Power Play Chances3
0%PP%100%
0%PK%100%
0PPG3
6Penalty Minutes8
26Hits22
11Blocked Shots12
11Giveaways21
4Takeaways12

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
17:08GOAL (BUF): Tim Kennedy (1), assists: Tyler Myers, Chris Butler(PP)
18:39GOAL (BUF): Tyler Myers (1), assists: Thomas Vanek, Tim Connolly(PP)
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
07:30GOAL (BUF): Tyler Myers (2), assists: Tim Connolly, Chris Butler(PP)
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
02:11GOAL (TOR): Matt Stajan (1), assists: Luke Schenn, Nikolay Kulemin
17:17GOAL (TOR): John Mitchell (1), assists: Lee Stempniak, Luke Schenn
20:00Period end
20:00Game end
vs TBL (Jan 6, 2010)vs COL (Jan 9, 2010) ›