vs TOR (Jan 8, 2010)@ ATL (Jan 14, 2010) ›

January 9, 2010

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

COL 43 BUF

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs COL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
COL210014
BUF012003
Shots on goal COL 30, BUF 35W C. AndersonL P. Lalime
Summary

Buffalo had more shot attempts in all situations and lost 3-4 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo P. Lalime .900
COL C. Anderson .914
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
COL 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
J. Hecht goal (P3 15:48), Sabres win chance rises from 8% to 53%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Stafford
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
6
SHOTS
D. Roy
21:03
TOI (F)
T. Myers
25:57
TOI (D)
P. Lalime
.900 (27/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCOL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-COL.
 1ST2ND3RDOTTotal
Faceoffs Won12-88-814-111-135-28
Hits4-23-62-20-09-10
Takeaways0-21-10-01-12-4
Giveaways5-44-06-21-216-8
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.924COL 1.076. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:30
+16+80-8-16shot attemptsBUFCOL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCOL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 15:48J. Hecht (1) 8% to 53%+45
  2. P1 07:35M. Duchene (1) 57% to 38%-19
  3. P2 17:05D. Stafford (1), power play 9% to 27%+18
  4. P2 18:07B. Yip (1) 26% to 9%-17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
OT 4:30
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
1
2
0
2
4
1.6
19:41
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.8
21:03
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
13:50
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
19:57
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
6
1.2
15:36
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
-2
0
2
0.9
14:52
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
0
0
6
1.3
16:03
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
6:10
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
17:00
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
19:32
#37 M. Ellis (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
7:08
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
11:34
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
-2
7
1
0.0
15:46
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
16:34
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
23:55
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
22:33
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
23:02
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.1
25:57
Total
3
5
8
15
35
8.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#40 P. Lalime303.9000.564:47O

Team Stats

COLBUF
30Shots on Goal35
15.0%Shooting % (5v5)7.4%
.926Save % (5v5).850
1.076PDO (5v5)0.924
28 (44%)Faceoffs Won35 (56%)
5Power Play Chances4
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG1
13Penalty Minutes15
10Hits9
14Blocked Shots12
8Giveaways16
4Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
07:35GOAL (COL): Matt Duchene (1), assists: Matt Hendricks
13:28GOAL (COL): Matt Duchene (2), assists: Brandon Yip, Milan Hejduk
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
17:05GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (1), assists: Paul Gaustad, Tim Kennedy(PP)
18:07GOAL (COL): Brandon Yip (1), assists: Paul Stastny, Ryan Wilson
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
09:19GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (1), assists: Drew Stafford, Derek Roy
15:48GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (1), assists: Tim Connolly
20:00Period end
OT
00:00Period start
05:00Period end
SO
00:00Period start
00:00GOAL (COL): Milan Hejduk, unassisted(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly, unassisted(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek, unassisted(SO)
00:00GOAL (COL): Matt Duchene, unassisted(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht, unassisted(SO)
00:00GOAL (COL): Ryan O'Reilly, unassisted(SO)
00:00GOAL (COL): Matt Hendricks, unassisted(SO)
00:00Shootout complete
00:00Period end
vs TOR (Jan 8, 2010)@ ATL (Jan 14, 2010) ›