vs COL (Jan 9, 2010)@ NYI (Jan 16, 2010) ›

January 14, 2010

Philips Arena | Atlanta

BUF 21 ATL

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0102
ATL0101
Shots on goal BUF 32, ATL 33W R. MillerL O. Pavelec
Summary

ATL had more shot attempts in all situations, but Buffalo won 2-1 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .970
ATL O. Pavelec .938
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 7
ATL 1 of 7
TURNING POINT
I. Kovalchuk, power play goal (P2 16:42), Sabres win chance drops from 77% to 52%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Roy
20:02
TOI (F)
T. Myers
25:57
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.970 (32/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-ATL.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won8-1210-83-921-29
Hits8-63-32-113-10
Takeaways5-63-52-110-12
Giveaways1-22-20-03-4
PDO (5v5): BUF 1.083ATL 0.917. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+21+110-11-21shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 16:42I. Kovalchuk (1), power play 77% to 52%-25
  2. P2 03:00P. Kaleta (1) 52% to 74%+22
  3. P3 07:54Unsportsmanlike conduct on Nik Antropov, 2 min 52% to 57%+5
  4. P3 07:54Unsportsmanlike conduct on Tim Kennedy, 2 min 57% to 52%-5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 10:27
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
0
0
3
0.2
20:02
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.1
19:45
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
11:16
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
9:06
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.7
16:28
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
+1
4
1
-0.1
12:32
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:05
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
7:40
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
14:53
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:04
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
15:16
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
6
0.8
19:32
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
17:14
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.3
14:38
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.2
19:38
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.1
23:47
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
19:43
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.5
25:57
Total
2
3
5
16
32
4.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller331.9702.561:21W

Team Stats

BUFATL
32Shots on Goal33
8.3%Shooting % (5v5)0.0%
1.000Save % (5v5).917
1.083PDO (5v5)0.917
21 (42%)Faceoffs Won29 (58%)
7Power Play Chances7
14%PP%14%
86%PK%86%
1PPG1
16Penalty Minutes16
17Hits12
11Blocked Shots8
3Giveaways5
13Takeaways18

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
03:00GOAL (BUF): Patrick Kaleta (1), assists: Toni Lydman, Clarke MacArthur
16:42GOAL (ATL): Ilya Kovalchuk (1), assists: Vyacheslav Kozlov, Toby Enstrom(PP)
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
vs COL (Jan 9, 2010)@ NYI (Jan 16, 2010) ›