@ LAK (Jan 21, 2010)@ VAN (Jan 25, 2010) ›

January 23, 2010

HP Pavilion at San Jose | San Jose

BUF 25 SJS

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs SJS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1012
SJS0235
Shots on goal BUF 40, SJS 24W E. NabokovL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shot attempts in all situations and lost 2-5.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .826
SJS E. Nabokov .950
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
SJS 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
J. Pavelski goal (P3 6:31), Sabres win chance drops from 46% to 15%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Pominville
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Connolly
21:56
TOI (F)
T. Myers
24:11
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.826 (19/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFSJS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Additional per-period stats
Each cell is BUF-SJS.
 1ST2ND3RDTotal
Faceoffs Won8-1115-1111-1334-35
Hits6-178-89-723-32
Takeaways3-32-43-38-10
Giveaways6-65-43-214-12
PDO (5v5): BUF 0.813SJS 1.187. Shooting % plus save %. About 1.000 is neutral.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+26+130-13-26shot attemptsBUFSJS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 43%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFSJS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 06:31J. Pavelski (2) 46% to 15%-31
  2. P3 00:18J. Pominville (1), power play 19% to 46%+27
  3. P2 02:07J. Pavelski (1) 67% to 44%-23
  4. P1 07:19T. Connolly (1) 43% to 63%+20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice.

Shot Map

Every shot attempt, to scale.

Replay
P3 19:21
Shot on goal (size = xG)GoalMissed shot×Blocked shot

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2009–10 regular season (82 games).

Wins (45)Losses (37, 10 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 33% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 40% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 34% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 76% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
1
2
0
0
4
1.9
18:23
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
4
1.1
21:56
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.7
18:01
#34 C. Butler (D)
0
1
1
-2
0
2
1.2
23:00
#57 T. Myers (D)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.0
24:11
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-3
0
4
0.5
17:09
#13 T. Kennedy (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:48
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
6
0.3
14:41
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
8:26
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
13:05
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
5
0.5
15:59
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
4
2
0.0
14:03
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.0
10:00
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
11:15
#4 S. Montador (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
2
0.2
16:23
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.1
19:04
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
18:27
#52 C. Rivet (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
16:56
Total
2
4
6
12
40
7.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller234.826-1.159:46L

Team Stats

BUFSJS
40Shots on Goal24
3.6%Shooting % (5v5)22.2%
.778Save % (5v5).964
0.813PDO (5v5)1.187
34 (49%)Faceoffs Won35 (51%)
4Power Play Chances4
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
12Penalty Minutes12
23Hits32
16Blocked Shots14
14Giveaways12
8Takeaways10

Full Game Log

1ST
00:00Period start
07:19GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (1), assists: Jason Pominville, Jochen Hecht
20:00Period end
2ND
00:00Period start
02:07GOAL (SJS): Joe Pavelski (1), assists: Manny Malhotra
14:00GOAL (SJS): Dany Heatley (1), assists: Joe Thornton, Rob Blake
20:00Period end
3RD
00:00Period start
00:18GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (1), assists: Chris Butler, Tyler Myers(PP)
06:31GOAL (SJS): Joe Pavelski (2), assists: Devin Setoguchi, Marc-Edouard Vlasic
10:27GOAL (SJS): Jed Ortmeyer (1), assists: Ryane Clowe, Scott Nichol
19:00GOAL (SJS): Jed Ortmeyer (2), assists: Scott Nichol, Manny Malhotra(EN)
20:00Period end
20:00Game end
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